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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
La Coruna
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
17%
54%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
46%
Both score Ø 47%
61%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 17. · Ath Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 17 6 2 +50 57
2 Real Madrid 24 17 5 2 +38 56
3 Sevilla 24 16 4 4 +19 52
4 Ath Madrid 24 13 6 5 +23 45
5 Sociedad 25 14 3 8 +5 45
6 Villarreal 25 11 9 5 +17 42
7 Eibar 25 11 6 8 +8 39
8 Ath Bilbao 24 11 5 8 +2 38
9 Espanol 25 9 9 7 +2 36
10 Celta 24 10 5 9 +0 35
11 Alaves 25 8 9 8 -6 33
12 Las Palmas 25 7 8 10 -4 29
13 Valencia 25 8 5 12 -8 29
14 Betis 24 7 6 11 -13 27
15 Malaga 25 6 8 11 -10 26
16 Leganes 25 5 6 14 -20 21
17 La Coruna 23 4 7 12 -13 19
18 Granada 25 4 7 14 -29 19
19 Sp Gijon 25 4 5 16 -27 17
20 Osasuna 25 1 7 17 -34 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Ath Madrid
1–0 F. Andone
13′
Florin Andone 🟨
14′
Luisinho 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Fernando Navarro 🔁
↦ G. Kakuta
54′
57′
🔁 Y. Carrasco
↦ Á. Correa
57′
🔁 N. Gaitán
↦ Koke
65′
🔁 Fernando Torres
↦ K. Gameiro
68′
A. Griezmann 1–1
Y. Carrasco
74′
🟨 Diego Godín
Álex Bergantiños 🔁
↦ E. Çolak
76′
Laure 🔁
↦ Luisinho
82′
Álex Bergantiños 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
1 G. Lux G
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
8 E. Çolak M
2 Juanfran D
23 G. Kakuta M
10 F. Andone F
Bench (7)
3 Fernando Navarro
4 Álex Bergantiños
15 Laure
7 Joselu
11 Carles Gil
13 P. Tytoń
21 Bruno Gama

Coach: Pepe Mel

Ath Madrid

4-3-3
13 J. Oblak G
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
24 J. Giménez D
14 Gabi M
6 Koke M
22 T. Partey M
21 K. Gameiro F
7 A. Griezmann F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
10 Y. Carrasco
23 N. Gaitán
9 Fernando Torres
1 Moyà
15 S. Savić
19 L. Hernández
27 Caio Henrique

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.