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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Lillestrom
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
6 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Sarpsborg 08 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Viking 7 5 1 1 +8 16
2 Lillestrom 6 4 2 0 +8 14
3 Molde 6 3 1 2 +4 10
4 Sarpsborg 08 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Valerenga 6 3 0 3 -2 9
6 Bodo/Glimt 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Aalesund 6 2 2 2 -1 8
8 Tromso 6 2 2 2 -3 8
9 Jerv 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 Stromsgodset 6 2 1 3 -4 7
11 Ham-Kam 5 1 3 1 +2 6
12 Sandefjord 5 2 0 3 +1 6
13 Rosenborg 5 1 3 1 -2 6
14 Odd 6 2 0 4 -3 6
15 Haugesund 6 1 0 5 -7 3
16 Kristiansund 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08
10′
🟨 Bjorn Utvik
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ E. Wichne
46′
🔁 M. Høyland
↦ A. Salétros
53′
🟨 Martin Höyland
55′
🟨 Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali
62′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ G. Molins
63′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ T. Heintz
1–0 Y. Ibrahimaj
A. Adams
67′
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
76′
78′
🔁 R. Muhammed
↦ M. Maigaard
F. Holst 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
85′
H. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ A. Adams
85′
93′
🟨 Rashad Muhammed
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-2-3-1
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes D
30 I. Ogbu M
23 G. Åsen M
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh D
20 Y. Ibrahimaj M
9 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
11 T. Svendsen
77 F. Holst
21 H. Friðjónsson
33 H. Skogvold
6 K. Kairinen
1 K. Skjærstein
15 E. Taylor
3 C. Rösler
2 L. Ranger

Coach: G. Bakke

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
3 J. Horn D
4 B. Utvik D
32 E. Wichne D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard M
11 J. Lindseth M
41 T. Heintz M
8 G. Molins F
Bench (8)
5 M. Ødegaard
6 M. Høyland
22 K. Opseth
15 S. Skålevik
10 R. Muhammed
1 S. Nilsen
7 O. Halvorsen
31 A. Skipper

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.