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Ligue 1
Referee: Fredy Fautrel
Lorient
T T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Monaco
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
5,0
Scored
1,0
3,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,4
4,3
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 20. · Monaco 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 12 9 2 1 +15 29
2 Monaco 12 8 2 2 +21 26
3 Paris SG 12 8 2 2 +17 26
4 Guingamp 12 6 3 3 +5 21
5 Rennes 12 6 2 4 -3 20
6 Toulouse 12 5 4 3 +6 19
7 Lyon 12 6 1 5 +4 19
8 Bordeaux 12 5 4 3 +2 19
9 St Etienne 12 4 6 2 +4 18
10 Angers 12 5 2 5 +0 17
11 Dijon 12 3 5 4 -1 14
12 Marseille 12 3 5 4 -1 14
13 Montpellier 12 3 5 4 -7 14
14 Metz 12 4 2 6 -10 14
15 Caen 12 4 1 7 -11 13
16 Nantes 12 3 3 6 -7 12
17 Bastia 12 3 2 7 -3 11
18 Lille 12 3 1 8 -8 10
19 Nancy 12 2 3 7 -12 9
20 Lorient 12 2 1 9 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Monaco
27′
🟨 Jemerson
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 R. Falcao
↦ K. Mbappe Lottin
64′
R. Falcao 0–1
J. Aliadière 🔁
↦ S. Marveaux
67′
67′
T. Lemar 0–2
R. Philippoteaux 🔁
↦ B. Moukandjo
70′
M. Barthelmé 🔁
↦ F. Bellugou
80′
83′
🔁 G. Carrillo
↦ V. Germain
89′
🔁 Boschilia
↦ Bernardo Silva
93′
Boschilia 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lorient

4-3-3
16 P. Delecroix G
6 F. Bellugou M
5 Z. Touré D
25 V. Le Goff D
24 W. Lautoa D
20 S. Moreira D
10 S. Marveaux M
7 A. Mvuemba M
8 Cafú M
12 B. Moukandjo F
9 A. Waris F
Bench (7)
14 J. Aliadière
19 R. Philippoteaux
28 M. Barthelmé
1 A. Lamonge
2 L. Rose
4 M. Guendouzi
23 M. Fofana

Coach: B. Casoni

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
23 B. Mendy D
2 Fabinho M
5 Jemerson D
14 T. Bakayoko M
27 T. Lemar M
10 Bernardo Silva M
18 V. Germain F
29 K. Mbappe Lottin F
Bench (7)
9 R. Falcao
11 G. Carrillo
26 Boschilia
16 M. De Sanctis
20 A. Traoré
24 A. Raggi
35 K. N'Doram

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fredy Fautrel · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
6,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.