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Eredivisie
Referee: Pieter Vink
PSV Eindhoven
U T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Vitesse
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 57%
74%
39%
Points per game
2,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
61%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
45%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
18 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Vitesse 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 23 6 2 +54 75
2 PSV Eindhoven 31 23 6 2 +48 75
3 Feyenoord 31 17 5 9 +20 56
4 AZ Alkmaar 31 15 5 11 +11 50
5 Nijmegen 31 13 7 11 -1 46
6 Vitesse 31 12 9 10 +21 45
7 Heracles 28 13 6 9 +0 45
8 Zwolle 29 13 5 11 +4 44
9 Groningen 31 12 8 11 -8 44
10 Den Haag 31 10 11 10 +0 41
11 Heerenveen 31 11 8 12 -12 41
12 Utrecht 27 11 7 9 +7 40
13 Twente 31 11 6 14 -13 39
14 Roda 32 7 10 15 -21 31
15 Excelsior 31 6 8 17 -26 26
16 Willem II 31 5 10 16 -18 25
17 De Graafschap 31 4 7 20 -26 19
18 Cambuur 31 3 8 20 -40 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
1–0 D. Pröpper
S. Arias
12′
17′
🟨 Sheran Yeini
Half-time 1–0
Jetro Willems 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 R. Ibarra
↦ D. Oliynyk
Davy Pröpper 🟨
61′
M. Lestienne 🔁
↦ J. Locadia
69′
70′
🟨 Kevin Diks
2–0 L. de Jong
71′
J. Brenet 🔁
↦ J. Willems
72′
Jeffrey Bruma 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 L. Baker
↦ S. Yeini
N. Isimat-Mirin 🔁
↦ S. Schaars
85′
86′
🟨 Maikel Van der Werff
90′
🔁 T. Oude Kotte
↦ K. Ōta
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

1 J. Zoet G
3 H. Moreno D
4 S. Arias D
5 J. Bruma D
15 J. Willems M
8 S. Schaars M
6 D. Pröpper M
28 M. van Ginkel M
9 L. de Jong F
11 L. Narsingh M
19 J. Locadia F
Bench (7)
16 M. Lestienne
20 J. Brenet
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
7 G. Pereiro
10 A. Maher
18 A. Guardado
22 R. Pasveer

Vitesse

1 E. Room G
8 K. Ōta D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
17 K. Diks D
11 D. Oliynyk M
21 S. Yeini M
26 M. Rashica F
18 M. Nakamba M
10 V. Qazaishvili M
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (7)
30 R. Ibarra
34 L. Baker
44 T. Oude Kotte
7 I. Brown
22 P. Velthuizen
40 E. Lieftink
43 Zhang Yuning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.