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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Roda
T T S T U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 16%
9%
23%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
27%
55%
Both score Ø 36%
27%
45%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 17. · Go Ahead Eagles 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 22 18 3 1 +46 57
2 Ajax 22 16 4 2 +32 52
3 PSV Eindhoven 22 14 7 1 +26 49
4 Vitesse 22 9 6 7 +5 33
5 Heerenveen 20 9 5 6 +12 32
6 AZ Alkmaar 20 8 8 4 +7 32
7 Twente 22 8 7 7 +1 31
8 Utrecht 19 8 6 5 +3 30
9 Heracles 22 6 7 9 -7 25
10 Willem II 22 6 7 9 -8 25
11 Nijmegen 22 6 7 9 -14 25
12 Groningen 21 5 8 8 -3 23
13 Zwolle 22 6 5 11 -20 23
14 Excelsior 22 4 7 11 -15 19
15 Go Ahead Eagles 22 5 4 13 -15 19
16 Sparta Rotterdam 22 4 6 12 -12 18
17 Roda 22 2 11 9 -15 17
18 Den Haag 22 5 2 15 -23 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Go Ahead Eagles
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Marcel Ritzmaier
59′
🟨 Sebastien Locigno
62′
🔁 J. Suk
↦ S. Locigno
B. Badibanga 🔁
↦ A. Ajagun
66′
69′
🟨 Dan Crowley
1–0 C. Kum
M. Paulissen
70′
80′
🔁 L. Marengo
↦ S. Hendriks
O. Gnjatić 🔁
↦ G. van Velzen
81′
85′
🔁 L. de Kogel
↦ X. Schenk
D. Werker 🔁
↦ M. Paulissen
87′
Dani Schahin 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Roda

4-5-1
1 B. van Leer G
3 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
2 M. Milec D
27 F. Ananou D
30 M. El Makrini M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
14 A. Ajagun M
9 D. Schahin F
15 G. van Velzen F
19 M. Paulissen M
Bench (12)
11 B. Badibanga
4 O. Gnjatić
20 D. Werker
6 N. Rutjes
8 A. Auassar
16 Marcos Gullón
21 S. Raykov
22 Y. De Winter
25 A. Papazoglou
26 N. Wolters
44 B. Verboom
17 M. Rosheuvel

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
17 S. Locigno D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
24 M. Ritzmaier M
7 D. Crowley M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
28 E. Manu F
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (10)
8 J. Suk
11 L. Marengo
9 L. de Kogel
5 L. Rexhepi
6 S. Duits
13 E. Cummins
14 D. Maatsen
22 D. Hettinga
23 N. Nieveld
35 R. Achenteh

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.