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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Molde
S T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Brann
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,8
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
69%
77%
Both score Ø 62%
54%
69%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,1
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,93 xG 0,28
40% Possession 60%
24 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 6. · Brann 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 14 11 2 1 +23 +0.3 35
2 Tromso 13 8 3 2 +6 +1.6 27
3 Viking 13 8 2 3 +9 26
4 Brann 13 7 3 3 +10 24
5 Sarpsborg 08 13 6 3 4 +6 +0.5 21
6 Molde 13 6 2 5 +9 20
7 Stromsgodset 13 6 2 5 +3 -0.5 20
8 Lillestrom 12 6 2 4 +2 +1.8 20
9 Stabaek 13 4 4 5 -5 +0.9 16
10 Odd 14 4 4 6 -5 -0.3 16
11 Haugesund 13 4 3 6 -7 15
12 Rosenborg 14 3 4 7 -6 -1.8 13
13 Valerenga 12 3 2 7 -4 -1.6 11
14 Sandefjord 12 2 4 6 -8 -0.9 10
15 Ham-Kam 13 3 1 9 -17 +0.6 10
16 Aalesund 13 2 1 10 -16 -0.6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Brann
1–0 K. Eriksen
E. Breivik
12′
Half-time 1–0
Emil Breivik 🟨
58′
Eric Kitolano 🟨
62′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ M. Grødem
66′
70′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ N. Jensen Wassberg
M. Kaasa 🔁
↦ K. Eriksen
79′
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
79′
B. Risa 🔁
↦ A. Hagelskjær
84′
89′
🔁 E. Myrlid
↦ S. Heltne Nilsen
92′
🔁 E. Helland
↦ F. Knudsen
2–0 V. Berisha
E. Breivik
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
12 O. Petersen G
19 E. Haugan D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
21 M. Linnes M
22 M. Grødem M
8 S. Heggheim M
16 E. Breivik M
28 K. Haugen M
20 K. Eriksen F
10 E. Kitolano F
Bench (9)
9 V. Berisha
15 M. Kaasa
14 E. Knudtzon
3 B. Risa
17 R. Zekhnini
50 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
31 M. Løvik
34 P. Lervik
4 B. Hansen

Coach: E. Moe

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
35 J. Torsvik D
25 N. Jensen Wassberg M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
11 B. Finne F
10 F. Børsting F
Bench (6)
9 N. Castro
41 E. Myrlid
40 E. Helland
34 M. Haaland
12 E. Holmen Johansen
31 I. Hjorteseth

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.