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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
1–4
Full-time
Tondela
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
41%
19%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 49%
44%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 6. · Tondela 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 32 27 1 4 +61 82
2 Sp Lisbon 32 25 5 2 +49 80
3 Porto 32 21 4 7 +31 67
4 Sp Braga 32 16 9 7 +23 57
5 Arouca 32 13 13 6 +9 52
6 Pacos Ferreira 32 13 9 10 +4 48
7 Rio Ave 32 13 8 11 +1 47
8 Estoril 32 13 7 12 +0 46
9 Nacional 32 10 7 15 -13 37
10 Belenenses 32 9 10 13 -23 37
11 Guimaraes 32 8 12 12 -11 36
12 Maritimo 32 10 5 17 -15 35
13 Moreirense 32 8 9 15 -14 33
14 Boavista 32 7 9 16 -14 30
15 Vitoria Setubal 32 6 11 15 -16 29
16 U. Madeira 32 7 8 17 -21 29
17 Tondela 32 6 6 20 -25 24
18 Academica 32 5 9 18 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Tondela
14′
Nathan Junior 0–1
18′
🟨 Wanderson Cunha
22′
🟨 Kaká
1–1 Minhoca
33′
Rodrigo Antonio 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 Lucas Souza
Andrézinho 🔁
↦ Diogo Jota
56′
62′
🔁 J. Murillo
↦ Luis Alberto
Cicero 🔁
↦ B. Osei
68′
70′
Lucas Souza 1–2
72′
Lucas Souza 1–3
Paraiba 🔁
↦ Pelé
73′
Fabio Cardoso 🟨
84′
89′
Nathan Junior 1–4
92′
🔁 S. Thicot
↦ E. Moreno
94′
🔁 Dolly Menga
↦ Wagner
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

1 Rafael Defendi G
19 Ricardo D
6 Fábio Cardoso D
27 Rodrigo Antônio D
25 Pelé M
5 Hélder Lopes D
10 Minhoca M
94 Bruno Santos D
16 B. Osei F
18 Diogo Jota F
11 Bruno Moreira F
Bench (7)
20 Andrézinho
9 Cicero
12 Paraiba
14 Ponck
22 Miguel Vieira
81 Manuel José
86 Mário Felgueiras

Tondela

1 Claudio Ramos G
4 Kaká D
17 Nuno Santos
3 Pica D
20 Luis Alberto M
48 Wanderson Cunha
6 Lucas Souza M
41 Hélder Tavares M
16 E. Moreno F
28 Wagner F
11 Nathan Junior F
Bench (7)
15 J. Murillo
14 S. Thicot
70 Dolly Menga
8 João Jaquité
13 Zubikarai
45 Romário Baldé
77 Karl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.