Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feirense
Portimonense
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Porto
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | +43 | 55 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | +40 | 53 |
| 3 |
Sp Lisbon
|
22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | +32 | 53 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | +20 | 46 |
| 5 |
Rio Ave
|
22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | +5 | 36 |
| 6 |
Boavista
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 |
Chaves
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 |
Maritimo
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 |
Tondela
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 |
Portimonense
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 |
Belenenses
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 21 |
| 14 |
Estoril
|
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 |
Aves
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 |
Feirense
|
22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 |
Moreirense
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -15 | 19 |
| 18 |
Vitoria Setubal
|
22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -15 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Nuno Santos
Ruben Fernandes
D
Coach: Vítor Oliveira
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sp Lisbon
Feirense
Feirense
Chaves
Pacos Ferreira
Feirense
Feirense
Moreirense
Tondela
Feirense
Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.