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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vasco Santos

Estoril

T S S S T

1–3

Full-time

Porto

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 55%

27%

82%

Points per game

1,0

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

59%

64%

Both score Ø 36%

36%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,0

2,6

Conceded

1,9

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

5 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 1

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Estoril 16. · Porto 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	22	18	4	0	+48	58
2	Benfica	23	17	5	1	+44	56
3	Sp Lisbon	23	17	5	1	+33	56
4	Sp Braga	23	16	1	6	+25	49
5	Rio Ave	23	11	3	9	+0	36
6	Chaves	23	9	6	8	-6	33
7	Boavista	23	9	3	11	-9	30
8	Maritimo	23	8	6	9	-10	30
9	Guimaraes	23	9	2	12	-13	29
10	Portimonense	23	7	6	10	-1	27
11	Tondela	23	7	4	12	-9	25
12	Belenenses	23	6	6	11	-13	24
13	Aves	23	5	6	12	-11	21
14	Vitoria Setubal	23	4	9	10	-14	21
15	Pacos Ferreira	23	5	6	12	-16	21
16	Estoril	22	6	3	13	-19	21
17	Feirense	23	6	2	15	-13	20
18	Moreirense	23	4	7	12	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	11	1	0	+32	34
2	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+22	32
3	Benfica	11	10	1	0	+30	31
4	Sp Braga	12	10	0	2	+20	30
5	Rio Ave	11	7	1	3	+9	22
6	Maritimo	11	6	3	2	+3	21
7	Boavista	11	7	0	4	+0	21
8	Guimaraes	11	6	1	4	-6	19
9	Portimonense	11	5	2	4	+5	17
10	Vitoria Setubal	12	4	5	3	+1	17
11	Belenenses	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Pacos Ferreira	11	4	4	3	+0	16
13	Chaves	11	3	5	3	-1	14
14	Estoril	11	4	1	6	-4	13
15	Feirense	12	4	1	7	-6	13
16	Tondela	12	3	2	7	-6	11
17	Moreirense	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Aves	12	2	3	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	7	4	1	+14	25
2	Porto	10	7	3	0	+16	24
3	Sp Lisbon	11	7	3	1	+11	24
4	Sp Braga	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Chaves	12	6	1	5	-5	19
6	Tondela	11	4	2	5	-3	14
7	Rio Ave	12	4	2	6	-9	14
8	Aves	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Portimonense	12	2	4	6	-6	10
10	Guimaraes	12	3	1	8	-7	10
11	Moreirense	11	3	1	7	-9	10
12	Boavista	12	2	3	7	-9	9
13	Maritimo	12	2	3	7	-13	9
14	Belenenses	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	Estoril	11	2	2	7	-15	8
16	Feirense	11	2	1	8	-7	7
17	Pacos Ferreira	12	1	2	9	-16	5
18	Vitoria Setubal	11	0	4	7	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.