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Primeira Liga
Referee: Helder Malheiro
Feirense
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Maritimo
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feirense Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,2
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
27%
27%
Both score Ø 27%
27%
27%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,6
0,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
26 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feirense 17. · Maritimo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 12 10 0 2 +19 30
2 Sp Lisbon 12 9 1 2 +13 28
3 Sp Braga 12 8 3 1 +12 27
4 Benfica 12 8 2 2 +13 26
5 Guimaraes 12 6 3 3 +5 21
6 Rio Ave 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Belenenses 12 4 6 2 +1 18
8 Vitoria Setubal 12 5 2 5 +2 17
9 Santa Clara 12 5 2 5 +1 17
10 Moreirense 12 5 1 6 -6 16
11 Portimonense 12 4 2 6 -8 14
12 Nacional 12 3 4 5 -8 13
13 Boavista 12 2 4 6 -7 10
14 Aves 12 3 1 8 -8 10
15 Maritimo 11 3 1 7 -8 10
16 Tondela 12 2 3 7 -4 9
17 Feirense 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Chaves 12 2 1 9 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feirense Maritimo
27′
🟨 Danny
28′
🟨 Jorge Correa
38′
🟨 Fabio China
Half-time 0–0
Vitor Bruno 🟨
59′
65′
🔁 Valente
↦ Fabricio Baiano
Sturgeon 🔁
↦ Luís Machado
67′
69′
🟨 Lucas Áfrico
1–0 Tiago Silva
70′
76′
🔁 Joel
↦ J. Correa
Edinho 🔁
↦ João Silva
77′
84′
🔁 Jean Cleber
↦ Gamboa
R. Miller 🔁
↦ Paraiba
86′
Tiago Silva 🟨
89′
Edson Farias 🟨
90′
Edinho 🟨
90′
95′
Valente 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Feirense

4-2-3-1
22 Caio Secco G
14 Bruno Nascimento D
90 Vítor Bruno D
4 A. Briseño D
2 Diga D
17 Cris M
5 Babanco M
10 Tiago Silva M
19 João Silva F
12 Paraiba M
7 Luís Machado M
Bench (7)
71 Sturgeon
36 Edinho
6 R. Miller
3 Tiago Gomes
15 K. Alphonse
30 Bruno Brigido
60 Marco Soares

Coach: Nuno Santos

Maritimo

4-3-3
1 A. Abedzadeh G
2 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
45 Fábio China D
6 Lucas Áfrico D
10 Danny M
44 J. Vuković M
8 J. Correa M
27 Fabricio Baiano M
21 Gamboa M
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (7)
33 Valente
95 Joel
15 Jean Cleber
4 Marcão
12 Edgar Costa
17 Rúben Ferreira
94 Charles

Coach: Petit

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Helder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.