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Pro League
Genk
S T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Lokeren
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 8/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
63%
18%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
75%
55%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
55%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 7. · Lokeren 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Club Brugge 9 6 1 2 +15 19
3 Gent 8 5 3 0 +8 18
4 Anderlecht 8 5 3 0 +8 18
5 St Truiden 11 5 1 5 +0 16
6 Waregem 8 5 0 3 +5 15
7 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
8 Charleroi 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 3 3 4 +0 12
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 3 3 7 -7 12
11 Beveren 10 4 0 6 -7 12
12 Westerlo 13 2 5 6 -9 11
13 Standard 10 3 1 6 -11 10
14 Mechelen 10 2 3 5 -6 9
15 Kortrijk 9 1 5 3 -2 8
16 Lokeren 11 2 1 8 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Lokeren
3′
E. Ngolok 0–1
A. Patosi
L. Bailey 🔁
↦ O. Ndidi
40′
Half-time 0–1
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ T. Buffel
60′
68′
🔁 M. Ghadir
↦ L. Enoh
S. Walsh 🔁
↦ K. Tshimanga
69′
71′
A. Patosi 0–2
92′
🔁 B. Ňinaj
↦ A. Patosi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Genk

26 L. Köteles
3 K. Tshimanga
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
10 J. Gorius
71 Y. Buyens
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
11 I. de Camargo
Bench (7)
31 L. Bailey
9 E. Ünal
5 S. Walsh
1 M. Bizot
7 T. Okriashvili
18 S. Schrijvers
24 Pozuelo

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
5 M. Marić
19 M. Tičinović
3 D. Odoi
15 S. Ingason
8 K. Persoons
7 K. Overmeire
28 E. Ngolok
21 M. Mirić
10 A. Patosi
29 L. Enoh
Bench (7)
11 M. Ghadir
25 B. Ňinaj
22 D. Melnjak
18 T. Notteboom
34 F. Starzyński
39 B. Geens
50 S. Bolbat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.