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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Tromso

S T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Aalesund

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 11/9 matches

Win Ø 43%

64%

22%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

45%

67%

Both score Ø 53%

27%

78%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,59 xG 0,90

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 2. · Aalesund 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	9	0	1	+19	+11.1	27
2	Tromso	11	7	2	2	+4	+4.4	23
3	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+17	+14.7	22
4	Lillestrom	10	6	1	3	+8	+4.0	19
5	Molde	9	5	1	3	+5	+0.8	16
6	Brann	11	4	1	6	+5	+1.6	13
7	Ham-Kam	8	4	1	3	-1	-1.2	13
8	Sandefjord	9	4	1	4	-2	-1.1	13
9	Kristiansund	10	3	2	5	-5	-3.8	11
10	Valerenga	10	3	2	5	-6	-4.1	11
11	Fredrikstad	9	3	1	5	-6	-7.2	10
12	Aalesund	9	2	3	4	-5	-7.3	9
13	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.7	8
14	KFUM Oslo	9	2	2	5	-7	-4.7	8
15	Rosenborg	9	2	2	5	-7	-2.2	8
16	Start	11	1	4	6	-14	-5.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+7	+7.8	16
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+14	+13.0	12
4	Molde	5	4	0	1	+9	+3.3	12
5	Ham-Kam	5	4	0	1	+3	-0.7	12
6	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+5	+3.6	9
7	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.0	7
8	Sandefjord	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.4	7
9	Rosenborg	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.3	7
10	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.5	7
11	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.9	7
12	Brann	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.7	6
13	KFUM Oslo	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.5	6
14	Start	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6
15	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.9	5
16	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	0	1	+4	+6.8	12
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
3	Lillestrom	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.3	10
4	Brann	7	2	1	4	+4	-2.1	7
5	Tromso	4	2	1	1	-3	-3.5	7
6	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.5	6
7	Aalesund	4	1	1	2	-3	-6.7	4
8	Molde	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.5	4
9	Kristiansund	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.3	4
10	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.3	4
11	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	0	4	-5	-1.2	3
12	Fredrikstad	5	1	0	4	-8	-5.2	3
13	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
14	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.6	1
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.5	1
16	Start	6	0	1	5	-13	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.