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Championship
Referee: P Bankes
Swansea
T U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Charlton
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Championship · 23/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
28%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
48%
64%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
64%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 9. · Charlton 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 26 15 7 4 +22 52
2 West Brom 26 14 10 2 +20 52
3 Nott'm Forest 25 12 7 6 +9 43
4 Fulham 24 12 5 7 +11 41
5 Millwall 26 10 10 6 +2 40
6 Sheffield Weds 26 11 6 9 +11 39
7 Hull 26 11 6 9 +6 39
8 Preston 26 11 6 9 +4 39
9 Swansea 23 10 8 5 +6 38
10 Bristol City 26 10 8 8 -1 38
11 Blackburn 26 10 6 10 +0 36
12 Cardiff 25 9 9 7 -2 36
13 Reading 25 10 5 10 +5 35
14 QPR 26 10 5 11 -4 35
15 Brentford 23 10 4 9 +15 34
16 Middlesbrough 26 8 9 9 -6 33
17 Derby 25 7 9 9 -9 30
18 Birmingham 26 8 5 13 -12 29
19 Charlton 25 7 7 11 -2 28
20 Huddersfield 26 7 7 12 -12 28
21 Stoke 26 7 3 16 -9 24
22 Wigan 26 5 8 13 -15 23
23 Barnsley 25 4 9 12 -15 21
24 Luton 26 6 3 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Oct -19 Charlton – Swansea 1–2

Match report

Swansea Charlton
Kyle Naughton 🟨
2′
1–0 Y. Dhanda
W. Routledge
14′
22′
🟨 Albie Morgan
45′
🟨 Jason Pearce
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Doughty
↦ L. Taylor
50′
🟨 Darren Pratley
B. Wilmot 🔁
↦ M. van der Hoorn
58′
B. Celina 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
65′
71′
🔁 J. Vennings
↦ A. Morgan
J. Fulton 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
86′
87′
🔁 N. Sarr
↦ B. Purrington
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Swansea

4-3-3
27 F. Woodman G
26 K. Naughton D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
44 B. Cabango D
15 W. Routledge F
28 G. Byers M
8 M. Grimes M
23 C. Roberts D
22 A. Ayew F
9 Borja Bastón F
21 Y. Dhanda M
Bench (7)
20 B. Wilmot
10 B. Celina
6 J. Fulton
18 A. Kalulu
3 D. John
7 B. McKay
1 K. Nordfeldt

Coach: S. Cooper

Charlton

4-3-1-2
1 D. Phillips G
6 J. Pearce D
2 A. Matthews D
5 T. Lockyer D
3 B. Purrington D
33 B. Dempsey M
15 D. Pratley M
11 C. Gallagher M
19 A. Morgan M
9 L. Taylor F
44 J. Davison F
Bench (7)
45 A. Doughty
46 J. Vennings
23 N. Sarr
16 J. Ledley
20 C. Solly
30 A. Maynard-Brewer
4 A. Oshilaja

Coach: L. Bowyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,19
B
5,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Bankes · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.