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Championship

Referee: G Ward

Middlesbrough

U T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Leeds

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Championship · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 39%

24%

53%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

35%

29%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

41%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 0

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 21. · Leeds 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	35	19	12	4	+28	69
2	Leeds	34	18	8	8	+19	62
3	Nott'm Forest	35	16	11	8	+13	59
4	Fulham	32	16	8	8	+12	56
5	Preston	35	16	8	11	+9	56
6	Bristol City	35	15	8	12	-2	53
7	Blackburn	34	14	9	11	+10	51
8	Swansea	32	13	12	7	+7	51
9	Millwall	34	12	13	9	+1	49
10	Cardiff	34	12	13	9	+0	49
11	Brentford	32	13	8	11	+20	47
12	QPR	35	13	7	15	-6	46
13	Sheffield Weds	34	12	9	13	+3	45
14	Derby	35	11	12	12	-5	45
15	Birmingham	34	12	9	13	-7	45
16	Reading	34	11	9	14	+3	42
17	Hull	34	11	8	15	-5	41
18	Charlton	34	10	9	15	-4	39
19	Huddersfield	35	10	9	16	-15	39
20	Stoke	34	11	4	19	-10	37
21	Middlesbrough	34	8	13	13	-10	37
22	Wigan	34	8	10	16	-16	34
23	Luton	35	10	3	22	-28	33
24	Barnsley	34	7	10	17	-17	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	18	11	3	4	+13	36
2	Derby	18	9	7	2	+12	34
3	Leeds	17	10	4	3	+11	34
4	Fulham	17	10	2	5	+8	32
5	West Brom	17	8	7	2	+14	31
6	Cardiff	16	8	6	2	+9	30
7	Blackburn	17	8	6	3	+8	30
8	Millwall	16	8	5	3	+7	29
9	Swansea	17	8	4	5	+7	28
10	QPR	18	8	4	6	+4	28
11	Nott'm Forest	17	8	4	5	+4	28
12	Brentford	15	7	5	3	+13	26
13	Charlton	18	7	5	6	+3	26
14	Middlesbrough	17	6	7	4	+0	25
15	Bristol City	17	7	4	6	-2	25
16	Stoke	18	7	3	8	+1	24
17	Luton	17	7	3	7	+0	24
18	Birmingham	17	6	5	6	+0	23
19	Wigan	17	6	5	6	-4	23
20	Sheffield Weds	16	6	5	5	-4	23
21	Huddersfield	18	6	5	7	-5	23
22	Barnsley	18	5	7	6	-5	22
23	Hull	17	6	3	8	-1	21
24	Reading	16	6	2	8	+0	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	18	11	5	2	+14	38
2	Nott'm Forest	18	8	7	3	+9	31
3	Leeds	17	8	4	5	+8	28
4	Bristol City	18	8	4	6	+0	28
5	Fulham	15	6	6	3	+4	24
6	Swansea	15	5	8	2	+0	23
7	Sheffield Weds	18	6	4	8	+7	22
8	Reading	18	5	7	6	+3	22
9	Birmingham	17	6	4	7	-7	22
10	Brentford	17	6	3	8	+7	21
11	Blackburn	17	6	3	8	+2	21
12	Hull	17	5	5	7	-4	20
13	Preston	17	5	5	7	-4	20
14	Millwall	18	4	8	6	-6	20
15	Cardiff	18	4	7	7	-9	19
16	QPR	17	5	3	9	-10	18
17	Huddersfield	17	4	4	9	-10	16
18	Charlton	16	3	4	9	-7	13
19	Stoke	16	4	1	11	-11	13
20	Middlesbrough	17	2	6	9	-10	12
21	Wigan	17	2	5	10	-12	11
22	Derby	17	2	5	10	-17	11
23	Barnsley	16	2	3	11	-12	9
24	Luton	18	3	0	15	-28	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.