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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
St Pauli
U T U T S
3–2
Full-time
Nurnberg
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Apr -22 St Pauli – Nurnberg 1–1 28. Nov -21 Nurnberg – St Pauli 2–3 14. Feb -21 Nurnberg – St Pauli 1–2 19. Oct -20 St Pauli – Nurnberg 2–2 17. May -20 St Pauli – Nurnberg 1–0

Match report

St Pauli Nurnberg
1–0 J. Irvine ⚽
L. Paqarada
24′
36′
🟨 Lino Tempelmann
2–0 L. Paqarada ⚽
37′
3–0 L. Daschner ⚽
39′
Lukas Daschner 🟨
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🟨 Fabian Nürnberger
46′
🔁 E. Wekesser
↦ T. Duman
46′
⚽ K. Duah 3–1
F. Nürnberger
Jackson Irvine 🟨
62′
64′
🟨 Asger Sørensen
66′
🔁 F. Hübner
↦ A. Sørensen
D. Otto 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
70′
C. Boukhalfa 🔁
↦ I. Matanović
71′
72′
🔁 M. Wintzheimer
↦ M. Dæhli
Carlo Boukhalfa 🟨
74′
L. Zander 🔁
↦ M. Saliakas
80′
82′
🔁 E. Valentini
↦ J. Gyamerah
82′
🔁 E. Shuranov
↦ K. Duah
B. Fazliji 🔁
↦ A. Dźwigała
91′
A. Aremu 🔁
↦ E. Smith
91′
92′
🟨 Erik Wekesser
93′
⚽ E. Valentini 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

St Pauli

4-3-1-2
1 D. Smarsch G
2 M. Saliakas D
25 A. Dźwigała D
18 J. Medić D
23 L. Paqarada D
7 J. Irvine M
8 E. Smith M
10 M. Hartel M
13 L. Daschner M
11 J. Eggestein F
34 I. Matanović F
Bench (9)
27 D. Otto
16 C. Boukhalfa
19 L. Zander
5 B. Fazliji
20 A. Aremu
21 L. Ritzka
24 C. Metcalfe
29 N. Jessen
40 J. Peitzmeier

Coach: T. Schultz

Nurnberg

4-3-1-2
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
16 C. Schindler D
4 A. Sørensen D
29 T. Handwerker D
8 T. Duman M
15 F. Nürnberger M
6 L. Tempelmann M
10 M. Dæhli M
23 K. Duah F
33 C. Daferner F
Bench (9)
13 E. Wekesser
19 F. Hübner
18 M. Wintzheimer
22 E. Valentini
11 E. Shuranov
3 S. Fofana
37 N. Jahn
1 C. Klaus
17 J. Castrop

Coach: R. Klauß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
🔒
U
3,51
🔒
B
2,81
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
U2,5
2,22
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.