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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

U S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Grenoble

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Grenoble

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 37%

47%

26%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

32%

26%

Both score Ø 48%

42%

53%

Average goals

2,0

1,9

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 7

3 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 4. · Grenoble 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	19	12	4	3	+15	40
2	Lorient	19	12	3	4	+15	39
3	Troyes	19	12	2	5	+6	38
4	Ajaccio	19	9	6	4	+8	33
5	Valenciennes	19	8	6	5	+4	30
6	Clermont	19	8	6	5	+2	30
7	Le Havre	19	7	8	4	+9	29
8	Guingamp	19	7	6	6	+8	27
9	Sochaux	19	7	6	6	+5	27
10	Nancy	19	5	12	2	+4	27
11	Grenoble	19	5	11	3	+2	26
12	Rodez	19	6	3	10	-3	21
13	Caen	19	4	9	6	-4	21
14	Auxerre	19	4	8	7	+0	20
15	Le Mans	19	6	2	11	-9	20
16	Chambly	19	5	5	9	-10	20
17	Chateauroux	19	4	6	9	-13	18
18	Niort	19	4	5	10	-8	17
19	Paris FC	19	4	3	12	-18	15
20	Orleans	19	2	7	10	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Nancy	10	5	5	0	+8	20
3	Lorient	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Sochaux	10	5	3	2	+9	18
5	Valenciennes	10	5	3	2	+5	18
6	Troyes	10	6	0	4	+0	18
7	Rodez	9	5	1	3	+5	16
8	Le Havre	9	3	5	1	+7	14
9	Auxerre	10	3	5	2	+4	14
10	Guingamp	10	3	4	3	+4	13
11	Ajaccio	9	3	4	2	+2	13
12	Le Mans	10	4	1	5	-1	13
13	Clermont	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Grenoble	9	2	6	1	+1	12
15	Caen	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Niort	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Chambly	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Paris FC	9	2	1	6	-11	7
19	Chateauroux	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Orleans	10	1	2	7	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	10	6	2	2	+7	20
2	Ajaccio	10	6	2	2	+6	20
3	Troyes	9	6	2	1	+6	20
4	Lens	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Clermont	10	5	3	2	+1	18
6	Le Havre	10	4	3	3	+2	15
7	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+4	14
8	Grenoble	10	3	5	2	+1	14
9	Valenciennes	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Chateauroux	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Chambly	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Caen	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Sochaux	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Orleans	9	1	5	3	-2	8
15	Niort	10	2	2	6	-6	8
16	Paris FC	10	2	2	6	-7	8
17	Nancy	9	0	7	2	-4	7
18	Le Mans	9	2	1	6	-8	7
19	Auxerre	9	1	3	5	-4	6
20	Rodez	10	1	2	7	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.