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Ligue 2
Chateauroux
S U S T T
3–2
Full-time
Lens
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chateauroux Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
25%
54%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
42%
42%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 6
18 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chateauroux 16. · Lens 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 25 16 3 6 +21 51
2 Lens 24 13 8 3 +16 47
3 Ajaccio 25 13 6 6 +13 45
4 Clermont 25 12 8 5 +8 44
5 Troyes 25 14 2 9 +5 44
6 Le Havre 25 9 11 5 +10 38
7 Guingamp 25 10 8 7 +9 38
8 Valenciennes 25 10 8 7 +3 38
9 Grenoble 25 7 14 4 +3 35
10 Nancy 25 6 15 4 +3 33
11 Sochaux 25 8 8 9 +0 32
12 Auxerre 25 7 10 8 +2 31
13 Rodez 25 7 7 11 -3 28
14 Caen 25 6 10 9 -5 28
15 Chambly 25 7 7 11 -8 28
16 Chateauroux 24 6 7 11 -16 25
17 Paris FC 25 6 6 13 -17 24
18 Niort 25 5 7 13 -10 22
19 Le Mans 25 6 4 15 -14 22
20 Orleans 25 3 7 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Sep -19 Lens – Chateauroux 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,88
U
3,25
B
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.