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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Metz

S U U S S

1–1

Full-time

Le Havre

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Le Havre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 52%

46%

58%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

35%

27%

Both score Ø 37%

35%

38%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

0,9

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 4. · Le Havre 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	26	15	10	1	+25	55
2	Bordeaux	27	13	8	6	+15	47
3	Sochaux	27	13	7	7	+20	46
4	Metz	26	12	8	6	+16	44
5	Bastia	27	12	6	9	+1	42
6	Grenoble	27	11	8	8	+4	41
7	Caen	27	10	10	7	+4	40
8	Quevilly Rouen	27	10	9	8	+2	39
9	Amiens	26	10	7	9	+0	37
10	Guingamp	27	10	7	10	-1	37
11	St Etienne	27	9	8	10	-2	35
12	Paris FC	26	9	7	10	-3	34
13	Valenciennes	27	7	12	8	-5	33
14	Annecy	27	8	8	11	-4	32
15	Laval	27	9	4	14	-9	31
16	Pau FC	27	7	9	11	-10	30
17	Rodez	27	6	10	11	-10	28
18	Dijon	27	6	8	13	-9	26
19	Nimes	27	7	5	15	-14	26
20	Niort	27	6	5	16	-20	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	13	9	4	0	+14	31
2	Sochaux	14	8	4	2	+17	28
3	Caen	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Bastia	14	8	2	4	+6	26
5	Bordeaux	13	7	4	2	+9	25
6	Grenoble	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Valenciennes	14	5	9	0	+6	24
8	Metz	13	6	5	2	+7	23
9	St Etienne	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Quevilly Rouen	13	5	6	2	+6	21
11	Amiens	13	6	3	4	+3	21
12	Dijon	14	5	5	4	+1	20
13	Annecy	13	6	2	5	+0	20
14	Nimes	13	6	1	6	-1	19
15	Laval	14	5	2	7	-1	17
16	Pau FC	13	4	5	4	-3	17
17	Guingamp	14	4	3	7	-3	15
18	Niort	13	4	2	7	-7	14
19	Paris FC	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Rodez	14	2	5	7	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	13	6	6	1	+11	24
2	Bordeaux	14	6	4	4	+6	22
3	Guingamp	13	6	4	3	+2	22
4	Paris FC	14	6	4	4	+1	22
5	Metz	13	6	3	4	+9	21
6	Sochaux	13	5	3	5	+3	18
7	Quevilly Rouen	14	5	3	6	-4	18
8	Rodez	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Grenoble	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Amiens	13	4	4	5	-3	16
11	Bastia	13	4	4	5	-5	16
12	Caen	14	3	5	6	-7	14
13	Laval	13	4	2	7	-8	14
14	St Etienne	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Pau FC	14	3	4	7	-7	13
16	Annecy	14	2	6	6	-4	12
17	Valenciennes	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Niort	14	2	3	9	-13	9
19	Nimes	14	1	4	9	-13	7
20	Dijon	13	1	3	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.