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Serie B
0–2
Full-time
Perugia
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Perugia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
37%
46%
Both score Ø 49%
54%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

20 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Virtus Entella 11. · Perugia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 35 24 8 3 +38 80
2 Crotone 36 19 8 9 +24 65
3 Spezia 35 16 8 11 +13 56
4 Pordenone 35 16 7 12 +2 55
5 Frosinone 35 14 11 10 +5 53
6 Cittadella 35 15 7 13 +1 52
7 Salernitana 35 14 9 12 +6 51
8 Pisa 35 13 11 11 +4 50
9 Empoli 35 12 12 11 -1 48
10 Chievo 35 11 14 10 +5 47
11 Virtus Entella 35 12 11 12 -1 47
12 Ascoli 35 13 6 16 -5 45
13 Cremonese 35 11 11 13 -2 44
14 Venezia 35 10 14 11 -5 44
15 Pescara 35 11 9 15 -6 42
16 Perugia 35 11 9 15 -10 42
17 Juve Stabia 35 11 8 16 -12 41
18 Cosenza 35 9 10 16 -6 37
19 Trapani 35 8 13 14 -16 37
20 Livorno 36 5 6 25 -34 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U
2,97
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.