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Serie B
Referee: R Abisso
Ascoli
T S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Pisa
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
35%
41%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 12. · Pisa 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 34 20 8 6 +31 68
2 Genoa 34 19 10 5 +24 67
3 Bari 34 16 12 6 +21 60
4 Sudtirol 34 13 14 7 +4 53
5 Cagliari 35 12 15 8 +9 51
6 Parma 34 14 9 11 +5 51
7 Reggina 34 15 4 15 +5 49
8 Pisa 34 11 13 10 +10 46
9 Palermo 35 10 15 10 -1 45
10 Modena 34 12 8 14 -1 44
11 Como 35 9 16 10 -2 43
12 Ascoli 34 11 10 13 -6 43
13 Ternana 35 11 10 14 -11 43
14 Venezia 34 11 9 14 -4 42
15 Cosenza 34 9 11 14 -21 38
16 Cittadella 34 8 13 13 -13 37
17 Perugia 35 9 9 17 -7 36
18 Spal 35 7 14 14 -9 35
19 Brescia 34 8 11 15 -20 35
20 Benevento 34 6 13 15 -14 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Pisa
21′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
Marcel Büchel 🟨
24′
26′
🟨 Marius Marin
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Pedro Mendes
F. Caligara
53′
59′
🟨 Matteo Tramoni
C. Gondo 🔁
↦ F. Dionisi
59′
D. Marsura 🔁
↦ F. Forte
63′
S. Giovane 🔁
↦ M. Büchel
64′
66′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ P. Beruatto
66′
🔁 Tomás Esteves
↦ A. Calabresi
2–0 D. Marsura
73′
78′
🔁 M. Gargiulo
↦ M. Tramoni
79′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ S. Moreo
F. Proia 🔁
↦ F. Caligara
80′
M. Eramo 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
80′
82′
G. Masucci 2–1
E. Gliozzi
86′
🔁 L. Tramoni
↦ M. Marin
92′
🟨 Olimpiu Moruțan
Eric Botteghin 🟨
95′
Davide Marsura 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ascoli

4-3-1-2
1 N. Leali G
17 C. Adjapong D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 L. Šimić D
21 S. Giordano D
18 M. Collocolo M
77 M. Büchel M
8 F. Caligara M
90 Pedro Mendes M
11 F. Forte F
9 F. Dionisi F
Bench (12)
15 C. Gondo
14 D. Marsura
32 S. Giovane
28 F. Proia
27 M. Eramo
5 D. Quaranta
20 F. Donati
55 G. Bellusci
54 N. Falasco
6 E. Gnahoré
13 E. Guarna
7 C. Lungoyi

Coach: R. Breda

Pisa

3-4-3
1 Nícolas G
6 H. Hermannsson D
44 A. Rus D
93 F. Barba D
33 A. Calabresi M
8 M. Marin M
18 G. Mastinu M
20 P. Beruatto M
80 O. Moruțan F
32 S. Moreo F
27 M. Tramoni F
Bench (11)
9 E. Gliozzi
19 Tomás Esteves
25 M. Gargiulo
26 G. Masucci
77 L. Tramoni
22 A. Livieri
15 I. Touré
21 E. Zuelli
42 M. Trdan
24 C. Sussi
34 A. Vuković

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
3,06
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.