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LaLiga2
Las Palmas
T U U U T
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 4
19 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 21. · Sp Gijon 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 6 5 1 0 +10 16
2 Cadiz 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Zaragoza 5 4 1 0 +8 13
4 Alcorcon 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Fuenlabrada 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Vallecano 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Huesca 6 3 0 3 +1 9
8 Albacete 6 3 0 3 -6 9
9 Numancia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Elche 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Tenerife 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Ponferradina 6 1 4 1 +2 7
13 Lugo 6 1 4 1 +0 7
14 Girona 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sp Gijon 5 1 3 1 +1 6
16 Malaga 6 1 3 2 -1 6
17 Santander 6 1 2 3 +0 5
18 La Coruna 6 1 2 3 -4 5
19 Mirandes 6 1 2 3 -6 5
20 Extremadura UD 6 0 3 3 -4 3
21 Las Palmas 5 0 3 2 -4 3
22 Oviedo 6 0 2 4 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
2,98
B
2,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.