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LaLiga2

Zaragoza

S S S U U

2–2

Full-time

Malaga

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,2

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 35%

57%

13%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

43%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

38%

Average goals

2,3

1,3

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

17 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 2

9 Corners 7

4 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaragoza 3. · Malaga 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	9	7	1	1	+6	22
2	Almeria	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Zaragoza	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Huesca	9	5	0	4	+2	15
5	Fuenlabrada	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Numancia	9	3	4	2	+2	13
7	Albacete	9	4	1	4	-6	13
8	Vallecano	9	2	6	1	+2	12
9	Alcorcon	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Las Palmas	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Elche	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Tenerife	9	3	2	4	+0	11
13	Ponferradina	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Girona	8	3	1	4	-2	10
15	Extremadura UD	9	2	3	4	-1	9
16	Lugo	9	1	6	2	-3	9
17	Santander	9	1	5	3	+0	8
18	Sp Gijon	8	1	5	2	+0	8
19	Mirandes	9	1	5	3	-6	8
20	Malaga	8	1	4	3	-2	7
21	La Coruna	8	1	4	3	-4	7
22	Oviedo	9	1	3	5	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Zaragoza	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Girona	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Numancia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Almeria	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Vallecano	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Ponferradina	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Las Palmas	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Albacete	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Sp Gijon	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Mirandes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Santander	5	1	2	2	+2	5
14	Fuenlabrada	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Elche	4	1	2	1	-1	5
17	Lugo	5	1	2	2	-3	5
18	Extremadura UD	4	1	1	2	+0	4
19	Tenerife	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Malaga	4	0	3	1	-1	3
21	Oviedo	4	0	3	1	-2	3
22	Alcorcon	4	1	0	3	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alcorcon	5	2	3	0	+3	9
2	Fuenlabrada	5	3	0	2	+1	9
3	Cadiz	4	3	0	1	+0	9
4	Almeria	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Tenerife	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Elche	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Huesca	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Albacete	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Zaragoza	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Las Palmas	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Extremadura UD	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lugo	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Malaga	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Numancia	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Vallecano	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Santander	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Oviedo	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Sp Gijon	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Ponferradina	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
21	Mirandes	4	0	2	2	-6	2
22	Girona	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.