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LaLiga2
Espanol
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,2
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
25%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,8
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 2. · Alcorcon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 4 4 0 0 +5 12
2 Espanol 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Fuenlabrada 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Ponferradina 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Vallecano 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Mirandes 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Castellon 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Leganes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Malaga 4 2 0 2 -4 6
11 Alcorcon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Las Palmas 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Cartagena 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
15 Oviedo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Tenerife 4 1 0 3 -3 3
17 Lugo 4 1 0 3 -4 3
18 Zaragoza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
19 Logrones 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -6 1
21 Girona 2 0 0 2 -3 0
22 Sabadell 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
3,71
B
5,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.