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LaLiga2
Lugo
U S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Girona
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 6
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 18. · Girona 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 8 6 0 2 +10 18
2 Sp Gijon 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Ponferradina 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Tenerife 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Eibar 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Las Palmas 8 3 4 1 +3 13
7 Valladolid 9 3 3 3 +0 12
8 Malaga 9 3 3 3 -3 12
9 Oviedo 8 2 5 1 +2 11
10 Ibiza 8 2 5 1 +1 11
11 Huesca 8 3 1 4 +2 10
12 Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 +1 10
13 Mirandes 8 3 1 4 +0 10
14 Sociedad B 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Burgos 8 2 3 3 +0 9
16 Leganes 8 2 3 3 -1 9
17 Cartagena 8 3 0 5 -7 9
18 Lugo 8 1 5 2 -2 8
19 Girona 8 2 2 4 -2 8
20 Zaragoza 8 1 5 2 -2 8
21 Amorebieta 8 1 4 3 -4 7
22 Alcorcon 8 1 0 7 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,79
U
3,00
B
2,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.