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LaLiga2
Referee: Germán Cid
Malaga
S S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Ferrol
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 20%
26%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 42%
45%
39%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 17. · Ferrol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 32 16 9 7 +18 57
2 Levante 31 15 11 5 +18 56
3 Santander 31 16 8 7 +14 56
4 Mirandes 31 16 7 8 +16 55
5 Huesca 31 14 9 8 +15 51
6 Oviedo 31 14 9 8 +6 51
7 Almeria 32 13 11 8 +11 50
8 Granada 31 12 10 9 +8 46
9 Burgos 32 13 6 13 -5 45
10 Cadiz 31 11 11 9 +3 44
11 Cordoba 31 12 8 11 -1 44
12 La Coruna 31 10 11 10 +4 41
13 Sp Gijon 31 9 14 8 +4 41
14 Eibar 31 11 8 12 -2 41
15 Castellon 31 11 7 13 -1 40
16 Albacete 31 10 10 11 -1 40
17 Malaga 31 8 15 8 -3 39
18 Zaragoza 31 9 9 13 -2 36
19 Eldense 32 9 8 15 -13 35
20 Ferrol 31 4 11 16 -31 23
21 Tenerife 31 5 7 19 -20 22
22 Cartagena 31 4 3 24 -38 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Aug -24 Ferrol – Malaga 2–2

Match report

Malaga Ferrol
1–0 Julen Lobete
Kevin Medina
9′
Juanpe 🟨
12′
21′
🟨 Francisco De La Manzanara
2–0 David Larrubia
Julen Lobete
39′
Jokin Gabilondo 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
Puga 🔁
↦ Gabilondo
46′
Manu Molina 🔁
↦ Juanpe
46′
Y. Rahmani 🔁
↦ Kevin Medina
61′
67′
🔁 Nacho Sánchez
↦ Aitor Buñuel
67′
🔁 Rober Correa
↦ Héber Pena
Chupe 🔁
↦ Dioni
70′
79′
🔁 Chiki
↦ Fran Manzanara
82′
🟨 Álvaro Sanz Catalán
Sangalli 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
82′
Carlos Puga 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 Raúl Blanco
↦ Naim García
85′
🔁 Eneko Jauregi
↦ Álvaro Giménez
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
2 Gabilondo D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
14 Víctor García D
10 David Larrubia M
8 Juanpe M
19 Luismi M
11 Kevin Medina M
17 Dioni F
24 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
3 Puga
12 Manu Molina
21 Y. Rahmani
27 Chupe
23 Sangalli
13 Carlos López
33 A. Chamorro
16 Diego Murillo
5 Álex Pastor
37 Rafa Rodríguez
18 Dani Sánchez
9 R. Baturina

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Ferrol

4-3-3
13 Yoel Rodríguez G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
15 David Castro D
18 Brais Martínez D
6 Álvaro Sanz M
16 Fran Manzanara M
10 Josep Señé M
2 Naim García F
20 Álvaro Giménez F
8 Héber Pena F
Bench (11)
11 Nacho Sánchez
3 Rober Correa
7 Chiki
21 Raúl Blanco
9 Eneko Jauregi
25 Jesús Ruiz
19 Manu Vallejo
14 Aitor Gelardo
12 E. Insúa
1 Emilio Bernad
5 Naldo

Coach: Alejandro Menéndez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,11
B
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Germán Cid · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.