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Superligaen
1–0
Full-time
Aalborg
T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Aalborg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 4 4 0 0 +5 12
2 Midtjylland 3 3 0 0 +3 9
3 Brondby 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Sonderjyske 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Odense 4 2 0 2 +2 6
6 Nordsjaelland 4 2 0 2 +2 6
7 Hobro 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Horsens 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Randers FC 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Aalborg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Lyngby 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Aarhus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
13 Esbjerg 4 0 1 3 -4 1
14 Silkeborg 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.