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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Aalborg
U T T U T
1–3
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 11. · FC Copenhagen 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Silkeborg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Aarhus 2 1 0 1 +1 3
4 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Viborg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
6 Brondby 2 1 0 1 -1 3
7 Randers FC 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Lyngby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 Odense 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Aalborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 FC Copenhagen 1 0 0 1 -1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. May -22 FC Copenhagen – Aalborg 3–0 3. Apr -22 Aalborg – FC Copenhagen 0–1 28. Nov -21 Aalborg – FC Copenhagen 1–3 18. Jul -21 FC Copenhagen – Aalborg 2–2 3. Feb -21 Aalborg – FC Copenhagen 2–3

Match report

Aalborg FC Copenhagen
8′
🔁 K. Johnsson
↦ K. Grabara
21′
🟨 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
↦ W. Bøving
51′
⚽ V. Claesson 0–1
Allan Sousa 🟨
54′
L. Prip 🔁
↦ L. Andersen
61′
O. Ross 🔁
↦ I. Fossum
61′
71′
⚽ V. Claesson 0–2
H. Haraldsson
A. Poulsen 🔁
↦ J. Ahlmann
73′
K. Kusk 🔁
↦ Pedro Ferreira
73′
73′
🔁 P. Mukairu
↦ H. Haraldsson
Kristoffer Pallesen 🟨
75′
1–2 Allan Sousa ⚽
L. Prip
79′
M. Makarić 🔁
↦ A. Ementa
82′
82′
🔁 M. Stamenić
↦ R. Falk
86′
🟨 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
92′
🟨 Nicolai Boilesen
94′
🟨 Victor Kristiansen
94′
⚽ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1–3
V. Claesson
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-3-3
1 J. Posavec G
2 K. Pallesen D
4 M. Ross D
21 L. Kramer D
3 J. Ahlmann D
8 I. Fossum M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
14 M. Højholt M
7 Allan Sousa F
19 A. Ementa F
10 L. Andersen F
Bench (9)
18 L. Prip
38 O. Ross
25 A. Poulsen
17 K. Kusk
9 M. Makarić
15 A. Hagelskjær
22 T. Sander
32 K. Ludewig
39 K. Høgh

Coach: L. Friis

FC Copenhagen

4-1-4-1
1 K. Grabara G
22 P. Ankersen D
3 D. Vavro D
20 N. Boilesen D
34 V. Kristiansen D
33 R. Falk M
24 W. Bøving M
12 L. Lerager M
30 H. Haraldsson M
7 V. Claesson M
16 Pep Biel F
Bench (9)
21 K. Johnsson
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
17 P. Mukairu
35 M. Stamenić
18 O. Óskarsson
19 E. Jelert
2 K. Diks
27 V. Lund Jensen
11 K. Babacar

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.