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Superligaen
Referee: J Kehlet
FC Copenhagen
S S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Randers FC
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Randers FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
56%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 3. · Randers FC 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 32 19 6 7 +19 +9.8 63
2 Brondby 32 18 8 6 +25 +6.5 62
3 FC Copenhagen 32 18 5 9 +26 +18.9 59
4 Nordsjaelland 32 16 10 6 +26 +5.7 58
5 Aarhus 32 11 11 10 -4 +5.0 44
6 Randers FC 32 10 11 11 -8 +2.6 41
7 Viborg 32 11 7 14 -10 -2.0 40
8 Vejle 32 9 9 14 -4 -19.5 36
9 Silkeborg 32 10 6 16 -11 +5.7 36
10 Lyngby 32 9 9 14 -14 -6.4 36
11 Odense 32 8 8 16 -11 -7.6 32
12 Hvidovre IF 32 4 8 20 -34 -18.5 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Randers FC
5′
W. Dammers 0–1
M. Enggård
Peter Ankersen 🟨
11′
1–1 O. Óskarsson
M. Elyounoussi
13′
Kevin Diks 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Lasso Coulibaly
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Elyounoussi
P. Ankersen
56′
Denis Vavro 🟨
69′
L. Lerager 🔁
↦ V. Claesson
72′
76′
🔁 O. Zandén
↦ B. Kopplin
76′
🔁 F. Lauenborg
↦ S. Nordli
J. Larsson 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
77′
R. Falk 🔁
↦ W. Clem
78′
83′
🔁 M. Brajanac
↦ S. Odey
84′
🔁 E. Agyiri
↦ M. Enggård
88′
🔁 H. Andersson
↦ W. Dammers
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 Kamil Grabara G
22 Peter Ankersen D
3 Denis Vavro D
2 Kevin Diks D
19 Elias Jelert D
8 Magnus Mattsson M
36 William Clem M
7 Viktor Claesson M
10 Mohamed Elyounoussi F
18 Orri Steinn Óskarsson F
30 Elias Achouri F
Bench (9)
12 Lukas Lerager
11 Jordan Larsson
33 Rasmus Falk Jensen
31 Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson
26 Scott McKenna
24 Birger Meling
6 Christian Sørensen
39 Oscar Højlund
47 Victor Froholdt

Randers FC

4-4-2
1 Patrik Carlgren G
27 Oliver Olsen D
3 Daniel Høegh D
4 Wessel Dammers D
15 Björn Kopplin D
28 Lasso Coulibaly M
8 Mads Enggård M
6 John Björkengren M
9 Simen Bolkan Nordli M
90 Stephen Odey F
77 Mohammed Fuseini F
Bench (9)
29 Oliver Zandén
14 Frederik Lauenborg
23 Muamer Brajanac
21 Ernest Agyiri
5 Hugo Andersson
25 Oskar Snorre
24 Sabil Hansen
2 Jeppe Kudsk
30 Mike Themsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.