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Allsvenskan

Hammarby

S S U T U

5–1

Full-time

Degerfors

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

78%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 8. · Degerfors 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	7	2	2	+8	23
2	Djurgarden	9	6	2	1	+10	20
3	AIK	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Elfsborg	10	5	1	4	+2	16
5	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+4	14
6	Degerfors	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Kalmar	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Hammarby	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Sirius	10	3	3	4	-7	12
10	Halmstad	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Mjallby	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	Goteborg	9	1	6	2	+0	9
13	Hacken	9	2	3	4	-1	9
14	Ostersunds	9	2	2	5	+1	8
15	Varberg	10	2	2	6	-8	8
16	Orebro	9	2	1	6	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	AIK	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Djurgarden	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Norrkoping	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Degerfors	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Hammarby	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Kalmar	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Sirius	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Elfsborg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Ostersunds	4	2	0	2	+6	6
12	Halmstad	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Hacken	5	2	0	3	+0	6
14	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Orebro	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Varberg	5	1	1	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	5	3	0	2	+3	9
2	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-1	7
4	Kalmar	5	1	3	1	-1	6
5	Degerfors	5	1	2	2	-2	5
6	Sirius	6	1	2	3	-7	5
7	Goteborg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
8	Halmstad	5	1	1	3	-2	4
9	Varberg	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Norrkoping	4	1	0	3	+0	3
11	Hacken	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Hammarby	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	AIK	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Orebro	5	1	0	4	-11	3
15	Mjallby	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Ostersunds	5	0	2	3	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.