Allsvenskan
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Varnamo
Sirius
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 0–0
The table before the match Varnamo 11. · Sirius 7. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hammarby
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 |
Hacken
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |
Mjallby
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |
Goteborg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Kalmar
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Djurgarden
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sirius
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Malmo FF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
AIK
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Varberg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Varnamo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Helsingborg
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Norrkoping
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |
Elfsborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Degerfors
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Sundsvall
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Varnamo
4-3-3
V. Eriksson
D
V. Larsson
D
W. Kenndal
M
O. Johansson
M
A. Magashy
M
Bench (7)
Coach: K. Hellberg
Sirius
3-5-2
J. Roche
M
Bench (7)
Coach: D. Bäckström
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Referee
J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.