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Allsvenskan
Referee: J Östling
Sirius
S S T T S
2–3
Full-time
Mjallby
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
53%
27%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,19 xG 2,64
61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sirius 12. · Mjallby 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 16 12 3 1 +28 +5.5 39
2 Hacken 17 11 2 4 +23 -0.4 35
3 Malmo FF 16 11 2 3 +21 +0.7 35
4 Djurgarden 17 9 3 5 +3 -1.6 30
5 Norrkoping 16 7 4 5 +4 +5.6 25
6 Kalmar 16 7 4 5 -1 -0.3 25
7 Halmstad 16 7 4 5 -3 -0.6 25
8 Hammarby 17 6 4 7 -4 +0.2 22
9 Brommapojkarna 16 7 1 8 -4 +0.5 22
10 Mjallby 15 5 4 6 -3 -3.9 19
11 Varnamo 16 6 1 9 -4 +0.2 19
12 Sirius 15 4 5 6 -4 -0.3 17
13 AIK 16 3 5 8 -6 -1.7 14
14 Degerfors 17 4 2 11 -25 -1.6 14
15 Goteborg 16 1 7 8 -6 -1.8 10
16 Varberg 16 1 5 10 -19 -0.5 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sirius Mjallby
-5′
🟨 Ivan Kričak
Daniel Stensson 🟨
32′
1–0 W. Abou Ali
36′
37′
D. Löfquist 1–1
N. Eile
39′
🟨 Herman Johansson
Jakob Voelkerling Persson 🟨
43′
44′
D. Löfquist 1–2
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 A. Brorsson
↦ V. Gustafson
Wessam Abou Ali 🟨
48′
2–2 M. Heier
T. Matthews
49′
69′
🔁 M. Moro
↦ M. Fenger
69′
🔁 J. Bergström
↦ D. Löfquist
77′
J. Bergström 2–3
H. Sjögrell 🔁
↦ J. Persson
81′
A. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ M. Heier
81′
81′
🔁 I. Kričak
↦ H. Johansson
86′
🟨 Noah Eile
Kristopher Da Graca 🔁
↦ M. Jeng
88′
94′
🟨 Jacob Bergström
94′
🔁 L. Carlius
↦ I. Jagne
Daniel Stensson 🟨
95′
Daniel Stensson 🟥
95′
96′
🟨 Ludvig Carlius
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sirius

4-2-3-1
30 J. Tånnander G
13 J. Voelkerling Persson D
6 H. Castegren D
31 M. Jeng D
21 D. Widgren D
8 D. Stensson M
18 A. Wikman M
20 J. Persson M
7 T. Matthews M
19 M. Heier M
9 W. Abou Ali F
Bench (9)
16 H. Sjögrell
14 A. Bjarnason
4 Kristopher Da Graca
12 Ó. Ómarsson
27 E. Özkan
35 H. Sveijer
23 E. Sylisufaj
36 A. Ljungberg
22 André Alsanati

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Mjallby

3-5-2
1 N. Törnqvist G
29 N. Eile D
5 C. Rösler D
24 T. Pettersson D
14 H. Johansson M
7 V. Gustafson M
22 J. Gustavsson M
6 I. Jagne M
11 A. Ståhl M
12 D. Löfquist F
9 M. Fenger F
Bench (9)
3 A. Brorsson
10 M. Moro
18 J. Bergström
15 I. Kričak
19 L. Carlius
25 A. Miftari
17 E. Stroud
35 A. Lundin
23 F. Linderoth

Coach: A. Torstensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.