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Allsvenskan
Referee: Adi Aganovic
Elfsborg
S T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Mjallby
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
63%
25%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Mjallby 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 8 7 1 0 +13 +7.7 22
2 Hammarby 9 5 2 2 +13 +6.9 17
3 Hacken 8 4 4 0 +5 +3.3 16
4 Elfsborg 8 4 3 1 +5 +1.8 15
5 Djurgarden 8 4 1 3 +7 +3.3 13
6 Mjallby 8 4 1 3 +3 -1.9 13
7 GAIS 9 3 3 3 +3 +1.1 12
8 Brommapojkarna 8 3 2 3 -2 -1.1 11
9 Malmo FF 8 3 1 4 -2 -2.2 10
10 AIK 8 2 3 3 -2 -3.7 9
11 Degerfors 8 2 3 3 -3 -2.1 9
12 Vasteras SK 8 2 3 3 -5 -5.2 9
13 Kalmar 8 2 1 5 -2 +2.6 7
14 Goteborg 8 1 3 4 -10 -1.0 6
15 Orgryte 8 1 2 5 -13 -5.9 5
16 Halmstad 8 0 3 5 -10 -3.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Mjallby
1–0 L. Ostman
S. Hedlund
7′
Arbër Zeneli 🟨
14′
15′
🟨 Jeppe Kjaer
Half-time 1–1
49′
J. Kjaer 1–1
L. Thorell
56′
🔁 A. Samuelsen
↦ R. Arrhenius
63′
🔁 T. Helge
↦ B. Bang-Kittilsen
63′
🔁 C. Tchouante
↦ L. Svanberg
A. Sigurpalsson 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
65′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ S. Hedlund
65′
A. Hellemaa 🔁
↦ J. Beck
73′
F. Ihler 🔁
↦ L. Ostman
84′
I. Buhari 🔁
↦ R. Mohammed
84′
84′
🔁 I. Adewale
↦ V. Granath
84′
🔁 O. Lindberg
↦ J. Kjaer
89′
🟨 Ibrahim Adewale
94′
🟨 Tony Miettinen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elfsborg

3-5-2
31 I. Pettersson G
2 R. Mohammed D
8 S. Holmen D
4 T. Isherwood D
15 S. Hedlund M
18 J. Magnusson M
10 S. Olsson M
9 A. Zeneli M
23 N. Hult M
19 J. Beck F
21 L. Ostman F
Bench (9)
1 T. Erlandsson
25 A. Sigurpalsson
16 A. Hellemaa
24 F. Ihler
3 I. Buhari
29 M. Kamara
11 T. Silverholt
28 F. Aronsson
27 V. Okeke

Coach: Bjorn Hamberg

Mjallby

3-4-3
13 R. Wallinder G
33 T. Miettinen D
2 L. Svanberg D
27 L. Tidstrand D
14 V. Granath M
22 J. Gustavsson M
6 L. Thorell M
39 R. Arrhenius M
10 J. Kjaer F
18 J. Bergstrom F
15 B. Bang-Kittilsen F
Bench (9)
35 A. Lundin
8 T. Helge
23 A. Samuelsen
5 A. Iqbal
3 C. Tchouante
26 I. Andersen
21 I. Adewale
29 O. Lindberg
28 C. Rosen

Coach: Karl Aksum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adi Aganovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.