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Allsvenskan
Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson
Malmo FF
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Elfsborg
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 38%
46%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
69%
43%
Both score Ø 70%
69%
71%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,28 xG 0,92
61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 7. · Elfsborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 14 12 2 0 +23 +10.5 38
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 +18 +13.1 27
3 Djurgarden 13 7 2 4 +12 +5.1 23
4 Hacken 13 6 5 2 +5 +4.1 23
5 Vasteras SK 14 6 4 4 +1 -1.2 22
6 AIK 13 6 3 4 +0 -7.4 21
7 Malmo FF 13 6 2 5 +5 +3.9 20
8 GAIS 14 5 4 5 +4 +2.1 19
9 Elfsborg 14 4 6 4 +1 -0.7 18
10 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 +1 +2.8 17
11 Kalmar 14 5 2 7 -2 +2.0 17
12 Brommapojkarna 14 4 5 5 -3 -7.6 17
13 Goteborg 14 3 4 7 -16 +0.6 13
14 Degerfors 14 2 4 8 -12 -8.8 10
15 Orgryte 14 2 4 8 -19 -8.1 10
16 Halmstad 13 1 3 9 -18 -10.3 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Elfsborg
5′
A. Zeneli 0–1
J. Magnusson
21′
🔁 R. Wikstrom
↦ S. Holmen
1–1 J. Stryger
N. John
22′
34′
M. Kamara 1–2
A. Zeneli
Half-time 1–2
I. Assibu 🔁
↦ T. Lundbergh
46′
Jens Stryger Larsen 🟨
61′
Busanello 🔁
↦ N. John
69′
D. Garcia 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
69′
Malte Palsson 🟥
73′
B. Kurtulus 🔁
↦ A. Hoog
76′
76′
🔁 F. Ihler
↦ L. Ostman
76′
🔁 S. Hedlund
↦ A. Zeneli
Busanello 🟨
79′
Sead Hakšabanović 🟨
79′
Andrej Đurić 🟨
84′
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ J. Stryger
84′
85′
🔁 R. Mohammed
↦ A. Jensen
85′
🔁 F. Aronsson
↦ M. Kamara
89′
🟨 Isak Pettersson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-1-4-1
1 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger D
5 A. Djuric D
44 M. Palsson D
23 N. John D
7 O. Rosengren M
45 A. Hoog M
37 A. Skogmar M
47 T. Lundbergh M
29 S. Haksabanovic M
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (9)
50 W. Nieroth
19 C. Rosler
25 Busanello
2 J. Karlsson
9 D. Garcia
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
4 B. Kurtulus
28 J. Milosavljevic
39 I. Assibu

Coach: Gaute Helstrup

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pettersson G
16 A. Jensen D
8 S. Holmen D
4 T. Isherwood D
23 N. Hult D
18 J. Magnusson M
10 S. Olsson M
29 M. Kamara M
19 J. Beck M
9 A. Zeneli M
21 L. Ostman F
Bench (9)
1 T. Erlandsson
12 T. Sander
6 R. Wikstrom
22 D. Krasniqi
24 F. Ihler
25 G. Gunnarsson
2 R. Mohammed
15 S. Hedlund
28 F. Aronsson

Coach: Bjorn Hamberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Karlsson · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.