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Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
S S S T T
4–1
Full-time
Rakow
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 40%
35%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
44%
62%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 11. · Rakow 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 34 20 5 9 +34 65
2 Lech Poznan 34 15 12 7 +29 57
3 Piast Gliwice 34 17 6 11 +8 57
4 Slask Wroclaw 34 14 11 9 +7 53
5 Cracovia 34 16 4 14 +12 52
6 Lechia Gdansk 34 14 10 10 -2 52
7 Rakow 34 15 5 14 -2 50
8 Jagiellonia 34 13 10 11 +2 49
9 Wisla Plock 35 13 9 13 -10 48
10 Zaglebie 35 13 8 14 +4 47
11 Gornik Zabrze 34 12 11 11 +2 47
12 Pogon Szczecin 34 12 11 11 -4 47
13 Wisla 34 13 5 16 -9 44
14 Arka Gdynia 34 8 10 16 -19 34
15 Korona Kielce 34 8 7 19 -19 31
16 LKS Lodz 34 5 6 23 -33 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.