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LaLiga2
Referee: Ojaos Valera
Leganes
S S U T S
0–2
Full-time
Castellon
U S S S S
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 11
6 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Leganes 9. · Castellon 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Eibar 7 6 0 1 +9 +1.4 18
2 Castellon 6 5 1 0 +10 +0.4 16
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 +7 +0.4 15
4 Burgos 7 4 2 1 +4 -0.3 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 +6 +0.9 13
6 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 +5 +2.5 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 +2 +3.5 12
8 Oviedo 7 3 2 2 +3 +3.1 11
9 Leganes 6 3 2 1 +1 -2.0 11
10 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 -1 -0.8 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 -1 -2.3 10
12 Sp Gijon 7 3 1 3 -1 -1.0 10
13 Granada 7 2 2 3 -1 +0.1 8
14 Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 -1 -2.0 8
15 Celta B 7 2 2 3 -3 -3.9 8
16 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 -3 -1.6 8
17 Andorra 7 2 0 5 -3 +4.6 6
18 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 -6 +1.0 6
19 Eldense 7 1 2 4 -5 -1.9 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 -3 +2.4 4
21 Ceuta 7 1 1 5 -11 -5.0 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 -8 +0.4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Castellon
Álvaro Morata 🟨
20′
24′
⚽ Israel Suero Fernández 0–1
28′
🟨 Íñigo Córdoba
Naim Garcia 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–2
47′
⚽ Adam Jakobsen 0–2
Israel Suero Fernández
Dani Rodriguez 🔁
↦ Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez
56′
Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed 🔁
↦ Zico Buurmeester
56′
57′
🔁 Lucas Alcázar
↦ Juanjo Nieto
57′
🔁 Pablo Santiago
↦ Íñigo Córdoba
Marvelous Antolín Garzón 🟨
58′
71′
🔁 Francisco Castillo
↦ Adam Jakobsen
Rubén Pulido 🔁
↦ Marvelous Antolín Garzón
71′
Unax del Cura 🔁
↦ Patrick Soko
71′
Álex Millán 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
77′
81′
🔁 Álvaro García Arana
↦ Ousmane Camara
81′
🔁 antonio gala
↦ Israel Suero Fernández
82′
🟥 Jeremy Mellot
Álex Millán ❌
penalty missed
84′
Yassine Kechta 🟨
89′
Rubén Pulido 🟨
91′
Unax del Cura 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Leganes

4-4-2
13 L. Zidane G
11 Naim García D
6 Lalo Aguilar D
3 Javi Montero D
2 Marvel D
22 Álex Sancris M
20 Miguel Atienza M
10 Z. Buurmeester M
8 Y. Kechta M
21 Álvaro Morata F
19 P. Soko F
Bench (12)
32 Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
18 Andrés Campos
1 Raúl Fernández
33 J. Herrero
31 Nico Lozano
9 Álex Millán
5 Ignasi Miquel
36 Sulaiman Mulumba
4 Rubén Pulido
14 Dani Rodríguez
23 Álvaro Tejero
16 U. del Cura

Coach: Rubén Albés

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
4 A. Sienra D
14 Iñigo Córdoba D
2 Juanjo Nieto M
21 Álvaro Martín M
8 Barri M
10 Israel Suero M
16 A. Jakobsen F
9 Ousmane Camara F
Bench (12)
24 D. Muale Nzanza
15 I. Kostis
23 Varo García
27 A. Gala
20 Martín Conde
11 F. Ceccherini
17 F. Castillo
19 Hamza Bellari
12 Lucas Alcázar
18 Pablo Santiago
7 Raúl Sánchez
35 Sergi Torner

Coach: Pablo Hernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,15
U
3,30
B ✓
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,68
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,93
O3,5
3,20
U3,5 ✓
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,67
BLS nei ✓
2,10

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.