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League Cup
Referee: D Webb
Wolves
T U T U U
3–0
Full-time
Port Vale
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Port Vale
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

69% Possession 31%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
7 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Wolves Port Vale
1–0 A. Armstrong ⚽
14′
26′
🟨 Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
2–0 Andre ⚽
Y. Mosquera
34′
3–0 F. Lopez ⚽
R. Gomes
43′
Half-time 3–0
56′
❌ Mo Faal
penalty missed
60′
🔁 O. Hernandez
↦ J. Headley
Kieran Trippier 🟨
64′
T. Doyle 🔁
↦ M. Munetsi
66′
R. Jimenez 🔁
↦ M. Mane
71′
N. Djiga 🔁
↦ Toti
71′
71′
🔁 Kyle John
↦ J. Lawrence-Gabriel
71′
🔁 O. Lynch
↦ M. Faal
78′
🔁 B. Waine
↦ G. Hall
78′
🔁 R. Croasdale
↦ G. Byers
L. Krejci 🔁
↦ Y. Mosquera
84′
J. Tchatchoua 🔁
↦ R. Gomes
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-2-1
25 D. Bentley G
2 K. Trippier D
15 Y. Mosquera D
24 Toti D
21 R. Gomes M
28 F. Lopez M
7 Andre M
3 H. Bueno M
5 M. Munetsi F
36 M. Mane F
10 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
1 J. Sa
9 R. Jimenez
20 T. Doyle
34 N. Djiga
37 L. Krejci
23 T. Chirewa
38 J. Tchatchoua
17 Pedro Lima
50 J. Abbey

Coach: Cesar Peixoto

Port Vale

4-2-3-1
1 J. Smith G
6 J. Lawrence-Gabriel D
25 C. Humphreys D
22 L. Montsma D
15 L. Gordon D
10 K. Dempsey M
7 G. Byers M
3 J. Headley M
38 R. Walters M
33 G. Hall M
9 M. Faal F
Bench (9)
13 M. Terry
11 O. Hernandez
19 B. Waine
2 Kyle John
17 T. Simpson
18 R. Croasdale
5 C. Hall
14 O. Lynch
42 C. Bussell

Coach: Jon Brady

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.