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League Cup

Referee: E Duckworth

Leyton Orient

T S T S U

1–3

Full-time

Bradford

S T T S U

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leyton Orient Bradford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — League Cup · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,62 xG 2,67

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 9

6 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 12

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leyton Orient 12. · Bradford 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	West Ham	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
2	Peterborough	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
3	Wolves	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
4	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.2	6
5	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
6	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
7	Sheffield United	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
8	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
9	Reading	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
10	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
11	Bradford	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
12	Leyton Orient	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
13	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
14	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
15	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
16	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.5	3
17	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.8	3
18	Everton	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
19	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.8	3
20	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
21	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.7	3
24	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
25	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
26	Luton	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
27	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
28	Crewe	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
29	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
30	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
31	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
32	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
33	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
34	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
35	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
36	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
37	Charlton	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
38	Stevenage	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
39	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
40	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
41	Burnley	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
42	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
43	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
46	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
47	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
48	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
49	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
50	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
51	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
52	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
53	Doncaster	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
54	AFC Wimbledon	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.8	1
55	Preston	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
56	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
57	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
58	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
60	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
61	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
62	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
63	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
64	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
65	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
66	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
67	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
68	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
69	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
70	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
71	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
72	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
73	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
74	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
75	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
76	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
77	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
78	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
79	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
80	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
81	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
82	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
83	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.2	6
2	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
3	Bradford	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
4	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.8	3
6	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
7	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
8	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.8	3
9	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
10	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.7	3
12	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
13	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
14	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
16	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
18	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
19	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
20	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
21	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
22	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
23	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
24	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
25	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
26	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
27	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
28	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	Preston	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
31	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
32	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
33	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
34	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
35	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
36	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
37	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
38	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
39	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
40	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
41	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
42	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
43	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
44	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
45	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
46	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
47	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
48	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
49	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
50	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Peterborough	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
2	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
3	Sheffield United	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
4	Reading	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
5	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.5	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
8	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
9	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
10	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
12	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
13	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
14	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
15	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
16	Luton	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
17	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
18	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
19	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
20	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
21	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
22	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
23	Charlton	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
24	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
25	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
26	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
27	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
28	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
31	Leyton Orient	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
33	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
34	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
35	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
36	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
37	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
38	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
43	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
44	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
45	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
46	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
47	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
48	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
49	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leyton Orient Bradford

Theodore Archibald 🟨

23′

0–1 Macauley Gillesphey ⚽

own goal

38′

40′

🟨 George Lapslie

Idris El Mizouni 🟨

44′

45′

⚽ Will Swan 0–2

Stephen Humphrys

Finley Stevens 🔁

↦ Isaac Hayden

45′

Joseph Olowu 🔁

↦ William Forrester

45′

Half-time 0–2

Phillip Chinedu 🟨

49′

58′

⚽ Stephen Humphrys 0–3

Kayden Jackson

62′

🔁 Aden·Baldwin

↦ Hayden Matthews

62′

🔁 Nick Powell

↦ Stephen Humphrys

62′

🔁 Callumm Connolly

↦ Henry Cartwright

Charlie Wellens 🔁

↦ Armando Dobra

66′

Dane Scarlett 🔁

↦ Theodore Archibald

66′

Yusuf Akhamrich 🔁

↦ Phillip Chinedu

67′

83′

🔁 Adam Phillips

↦ Kieran Morgan

88′

⚽ Nick Powell 0–4

Macauley Gillesphey

92′

🔁 Ibou Touray

↦ Will Swan

Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Leyton Orient

4-2-3-1

13 Noah Phillips G

28 S. Clare D

6 W. Forrester D

34 P. Chinedu D

3 J. Morris D

14 I. Hayden M

8 I. El Mizouni M

44 T. Archibald M

17 A. Dobra M

27 T. Springett M

49 N. Oyekunle F

Bench (9)

22 Y. Akhamrich

1 N. Baxter

9 J. Kabia

11 D. Mitchell

5 J. Olowu

18 D. Scarlett

2 F. Stevens

25 Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens

20 Alexander Gilbert

Coach: R. Wellens

Bradford

3-4-2-1

21 J. McCracken G

2 R. Welch D

H. Matthews D

5 M. Gillesphey D

27 C. O'Keeffe M

Kieran Morgan M

20 Henry Cartwright M

32 G. Lapslie M

19 K. Jackson F

24 W. Swan F

11 S. Humphrys F

Bench (9)

3 I. Touray

10 A. Sarcevic

25 N. Powell

8 A. Phillips

28 M. Pennington

1 C. Dawson

6 C. Connolly

9 J. Beesley

15 A. Baldwin

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

3,10

🔒

Pinnacle 3,27 1xBet 3,26 Marathonbet 3,25 Dafabet 3,20 Superbet 3,15 BetVictor 3,13 Bet365 3,10 Betano 3,10 Unibet 3,10 10Bet 3,05 Betfair 3,00 888Sport 3,00 William Hill 3,00 SBO 2,84

3,40

🔒

Dafabet 3,50 Pinnacle 3,46 Marathonbet 3,46 1xBet 3,45 Superbet 3,45 Bet365 3,40 Betfair 3,40 BetVictor 3,40 10Bet 3,35 Betano 3,35 Unibet 3,35 888Sport 3,10 William Hill 3,10 SBO 3,00

B ✓

2,25

🔒

1xBet 2,28 Dafabet 2,27 Marathonbet 2,26 Betano 2,25 Unibet 2,25 Pinnacle 2,25 Superbet 2,25 BetVictor 2,25 William Hill 2,25 10Bet 2,24 Bet365 2,20 Betfair 2,20 888Sport 2,20 SBO 2,15

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,29

🔒

Betano 1,32 10Bet 1,30 BetVictor 1,30 Betfair 1,29 888Sport 1,29 Pinnacle 1,29 Superbet 1,29 Bet365 1,28 Unibet 1,28 1xBet 1,26 Marathonbet 1,26

U1,5

3,44

🔒

Pinnacle 3,63 Superbet 3,60 Unibet 3,55 Bet365 3,50 Betfair 3,50 1xBet 3,44 Marathonbet 3,44 888Sport 3,40 10Bet 3,35 Betano 3,20 BetVictor 3,10

O2,5 ✓

1,94

🔒

SBO 1,98 Pinnacle 1,96 10Bet 1,95 Bet365 1,95 Betano 1,95 1xBet 1,94 Marathonbet 1,94 Superbet 1,92 Betfair 1,90 Unibet 1,87 BetVictor 1,86 888Sport 1,85

U2,5

1,85

🔒

Pinnacle 1,91 Superbet 1,90 1xBet 1,89 Marathonbet 1,89 Betfair 1,87 Bet365 1,85 888Sport 1,85 10Bet 1,83 Betano 1,82 BetVictor 1,81 SBO 1,80 Unibet 1,80

O3,5 ✓

3,26

🔒