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Copa del Rey
Referee: J Munuera
Albacete
U S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Barcelona
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 38%
75%
0%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

27% Possession 73%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Albacete 6. · Barcelona 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Alaves 4 4 0 0 +13 12
2 Betis 4 4 0 0 +12 -0.4 12
3 Valencia 4 4 0 0 +10 +0.9 12
4 Osasuna 4 3 1 0 +9 -2.9 10
5 Sociedad 4 3 1 0 +6 +2.9 10
6 Albacete 4 3 1 0 +5 10
7 Vallecano 4 3 0 1 +6 -1.4 9
8 La Coruna 4 3 0 1 +6 +0.6 9
9 Elche 4 3 0 1 +5 -0.3 9
10 Cultural Leonesa 4 3 0 1 +4 -0.9 9
11 Santander 4 3 0 1 +4 -2.4 9
12 Burgos 4 3 0 1 +2 +0.4 9
13 Getafe 3 2 0 1 +10 -0.3 6
14 Palma del Rio 3 2 0 1 +4 6
15 Eibar 3 2 0 1 +4 +0.3 6
16 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
17 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.4 6
18 CF Talavera 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Granada 3 2 0 1 +3 +0.9 6
20 Huesca 3 2 0 1 +3 6
21 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 +3 +0.1 6
22 Eldense 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Ourense CF 3 2 0 1 +2 6
24 Mallorca 3 2 0 1 +2 -0.6 6
25 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.9 6
26 Atlético Baleares 3 2 0 1 +2 -0.5 6
27 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 -0.1 6
28 Levante 3 2 0 1 +1 6
29 Sp Gijon 3 2 0 1 +1 6
30 Guadalajara 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.0 6
31 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
32 Celta 3 1 2 0 +2 +1.1 5
33 Villarreal 3 1 1 1 +5 4
34 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
35 Sant Andreu 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.1 4
36 Antoniano 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Real Murcia 3 1 1 1 -1 +0.4 4
38 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
39 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
40 Deportivo Getxo 3 1 1 1 -6 4
41 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
42 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.1 3
43 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
44 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +2 3
45 Numancia 2 1 0 1 +2 3
46 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
47 Ponferradina 2 1 0 1 +1 3
48 Malaga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
49 Extremadura 1924 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.1 3
50 Zaragoza 2 1 0 1 +1 3
51 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
52 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
53 Real Madrid 2 1 0 1 +0 3
54 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
55 Navalcarnero 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Cartagena 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.0 3
58 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
59 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Real Ávila 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.4 3
61 Cieza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Torrent 2 1 0 1 -1 3
63 Sabadell 2 1 0 1 -1 3
64 Portugalete 2 1 0 1 -2 3
65 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
66 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
67 Antequera 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Quintanar del Rey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
75 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
76 Ebro 2 0 1 1 -2 1
77 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
78 Mirandes 2 0 1 1 -2 1
79 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
80 Reddis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
81 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
82 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
83 Pontevedra 2 0 1 1 -3 1
84 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
85 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Atlètic Lleida 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Estepona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Gimnastic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
115 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Sámano 1 0 0 1 -4 0
122 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
123 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
124 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
125 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Barcelona
15′
🟨 João Cancelo
Daniel Bernabeu 🟨
25′
J. Vallejo 🔁
↦ C. Neva
32′
39′
Lamine Yamal 0–1
F. de Jong
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 P. Cubarsi
↦ J. Cancelo
56′
R. Araujo 0–2
M. Rashford
Jogo 🔁
↦ D. Bernabeu
60′
J. Betancor 🔁
↦ A. Melendez
61′
66′
🔁 F. Torres
↦ R. Lewandowski
66′
🔁 Fermín
↦ M. Rashford
66′
🔁 M. Casado
↦ M. Bernal
F. Gamez 🔁
↦ Lorenzo
73′
J. Lazo 🔁
↦ Capi
73′
78′
🔁 J. Kounde
↦ R. Araujo
1–2 J. Moreno
J. Lazo
87′
90′
ℹ️ Ferran Torres
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Albacete

5-3-2
13 R. Lizoain G
2 Lorenzo D
5 J. Moreno D
18 J. Villar D
21 C. Neva D
27 D. Bernabeu D
26 Capi M
17 A. Melendez M
6 A. Pacheco M
4 Agus Medina F
7 A. Puertas F
Bench (9)
1 D. Marino
15 F. Gamez
28 A. Velilla
24 J. Vallejo
3 Jogo
11 V. Valverde
20 S. Obeng
10 J. Betancor
16 J. Lazo

Coach: Alberto Gonzalez

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 J. Garcia G
2 J. Cancelo D
4 R. Araujo D
24 E. Garcia D
18 G. Martin D
21 F. de Jong M
22 M. Bernal M
10 Lamine Yamal M
20 D. Olmo M
14 M. Rashford M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (10)
3 A. Balde
5 P. Cubarsi
7 F. Torres
16 Fermín
17 M. Casado
19 R. Bardghji
23 J. Kounde
25 W. Szczesny
31 D. Kochen
43 T. Marques

Coach: Hansi Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Munuera · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.