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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybyl
Piast Gliwice
T T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
44%
72%
Both score Ø 64%
50%
78%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Piast Gliwice 15. · Lech Poznan 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 19 8 9 2 +10 +2.2 33
2 Gornik Zabrze 19 10 3 6 +6 -2.6 33
3 Jagiellonia 18 9 5 4 +10 -2.7 32
4 Cracovia 19 8 6 5 +5 +3.5 30
5 Rakow 19 9 2 8 +2 +3.1 29
6 Zaglebie 19 7 7 5 +5 +0.5 28
7 Lechia Gdansk 19 8 4 7 +2 -1.6 28
8 Korona Kielce 19 7 6 6 +3 -1.1 27
9 Radomiak Radom 18 7 5 6 +5 +0.9 26
10 Lech Poznan 18 6 8 4 +1 +11.8 26
11 Motor Lublin 19 5 9 5 -4 -2.7 24
12 GKS Katowice 18 7 2 9 -3 -8.0 23
13 Pogon Szczecin 19 6 3 10 -5 +8.7 21
14 Arka Gdynia 18 6 3 9 -17 -6.4 21
15 Piast Gliwice 18 5 5 8 -1 -6.2 20
16 Widzew Lodz 19 6 2 11 -4 +3.1 20
17 Legia 19 4 7 8 -3 +2.4 19
18 Nieciecza 19 5 4 10 -12 -4.8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
J. Felix 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
13′
Patryk Dziczek ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
25′
35′
🟨 Ali Gholizadeh
45′
🟨 Antonio Milić
Half-time 0–0
G. Tomasiewicz 🔁
↦ M. Chrapek
61′
H. Vallejo 🔁
↦ L. Sanca
61′
61′
🔁 P. Walemark
↦ A. Gholizadeh
61′
🔁 F. Jagiello
↦ L. Palma
61′
🔁 T. Ismaheel
↦ L. Bengtsson
F. Borowski 🔁
↦ E. Twumasi
76′
A. Katsantonis 🔁
↦ O. Lesniak
76′
79′
🔁 Y. Agnero
↦ P. Rodriguez
81′
🔁 J. Pereira
↦ R. Gumny
1–0 A. Katsantonis
J. Felix
83′
Patryk Dziczek 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

4-4-2
26 F. Plach G
55 E. Twumasi D
5 Juande D
29 I. Drapinski D
36 J. Lewicki D
31 O. Lesniak M
6 M. Chrapek M
10 P. Dziczek M
11 L. Sanca M
63 G. Barkovskiy F
17 Q. Boisgard F
Bench (12)
33 K. Szymanski
12 J. Grelich
4 J. Czerwinski
3 E. Fikaj
28 F. Borowski
18 O. Maziarz
20 G. Tomasiewicz
23 S. Mucha
7 J. Felix
80 H. Vallejo
70 A. Katsantonis
9 A. Dalmau

Coach: Daniel Mysliwiec

Lech Poznan

4-4-2
41 B. Mrozek G
20 R. Gumny D
27 W. Monka D
16 A. Milic D
15 M. Gurgul D
8 A. Gholizadeh M
99 P. Rodriguez M
43 A. Kozubal M
14 L. Bengtsson M
9 M. Ishak F
77 L. Palma F
Bench (11)
1 P. Andreev
2 J. Pereira
4 J. Moutinho
7 Y. Agnero
10 P. Walemark
23 G. Thordarson
24 F. Jagiello
44 T. Gmur
53 S. Dudek
72 M. Skrzypczak
88 T. Ismaheel

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Przybyl · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.