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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Sletner
Ranheim
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ranheim Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ranheim 15. · Fredrikstad 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 9 6 2 1 +11 20
2 Bryne 9 5 2 2 +6 17
3 Aalesund 9 5 1 3 +3 16
4 Jerv 8 5 1 2 +0 16
5 Fredrikstad 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Asane 9 4 1 4 -1 13
7 KFUM Oslo 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Grorud 9 3 3 3 -1 12
9 Sogndal 9 3 2 4 +4 11
10 Raufoss 9 3 2 4 +0 11
11 Start 9 3 1 5 -2 10
12 Strommen 9 2 4 3 -3 10
13 Ull/Kisa 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Sandnes ULF 9 2 3 4 -3 9
15 Ranheim 8 2 2 4 -6 8
16 Stjørdals-Blink 9 2 0 7 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ranheim Fredrikstad
M. Lundal 🔁
↦ R. Williams
40′
Half-time 0–1
0–1 M. Nielsen
own goal
53′
55′
🔁 L. Reuterswärd
↦ T. Ismaheel
55′
🔁 O. Øby
↦ H. Åsheim
58′
N. Solberg 0–2
Ø. Alseth 🔁
↦ W. Kamanzi
67′
67′
🔁 Maikel
↦ T. Drage
R. Alte 🔁
↦ S. Marklund
68′
M. Karlsen 🔁
↦ Adrià Mateo
84′
S. Langås 🔁
↦ D. Kvande
84′
84′
🔁 A. Hansen
↦ N. Solberg
84′
🔁 K. Getz
↦ R. Alba
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ranheim

1 M. Lenes
3 D. Kvande
2 C. Rismark
16 R. Williams
12 W. Kamanzi
7 M. Reginiussen
15 E. Tønne
23 Adrià Mateo
14 S. Marklund
11 M. Mehnert
18 F. Brattbakk
Bench (9)
4 M. Lundal
5 Ø. Alseth
8 R. Alte
9 M. Karlsen
26 S. Langås
25 A. Bartel
20 E. Melkersen
21 J. Tromsdal
33 J. Johansson

Coach: S. Maalen

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
5 P. Aukland
21 O. Jansson
7 T. Drage
20 H. Åsheim
31 J. Isaksen
6 N. Solberg
15 R. Alba
12 T. Ismaheel
Bench (7)
10 L. Reuterswärd
19 O. Øby
11 Maikel
2 A. Hansen
29 K. Getz
13 A. Karstensen
18 L. Begby

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.