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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: M Koløy

Aalesund

T S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 8. · Fredrikstad 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Asane	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Ham-Kam	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Jerv	4	3	0	1	+0	9
5	Grorud	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Bryne	5	2	1	2	+3	7
7	Start	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Aalesund	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Sogndal	5	1	2	2	+2	5
10	Raufoss	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Sandnes ULF	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Ranheim	5	1	2	2	-6	5
13	KFUM Oslo	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Ull/Kisa	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Stjørdals-Blink	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Strommen	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ham-Kam	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Asane	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Jerv	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bryne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Grorud	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sandnes ULF	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ranheim	3	1	1	1	-3	4
10	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Ull/Kisa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Raufoss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sogndal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Strommen	3	0	2	1	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Asane	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Ham-Kam	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Grorud	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Start	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Sogndal	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Bryne	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Jerv	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Raufoss	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Sandnes ULF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Ranheim	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Ull/Kisa	3	0	1	2	-5	1
14	Strommen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Stjørdals-Blink	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.