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Referee: S Smit
TEC
S T U S T
4–2
Full-time
URK
S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TEC URK
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
40%
25%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

TEC URK
1–0 J. Ket
18′
2–0 O. Yelkovan
20′
3–0 B. van Essen
23′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 P. Brands
↦ L. Nagel
46′
🔁 R. Nentjes
↦ T. Ras
4–0 B. van Essen
57′
59′
🔁 I. den Dulk
↦ J. Ras
63′
R. Nentjes 4–1
G. van Rijn 🔁
↦ B. van Essen
68′
A. López 🔁
↦ P. van Anholt
68′
Z. Ritfield 🔁
↦ R. Hazzat
68′
68′
J. van Essen 4–2
S. de Jong 🔁
↦ Z. Ritfield
78′
85′
🔁 K. Romkes
↦ I. Nentjes
N. El Amrani 🔁
↦ Q. van Veenendaal
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

TEC

1 J. Schuurman
3 J. Ket
4 N. Raben
28 R. Ortela
6 P. van Anholt
17 R. Hazzat
8 Q. van Veenendaal
11 F. Serrarens
29 M. de Ruiter
7 B. van Essen
14 O. Yelkovan
Bench (7)
5 G. van Rijn
9 A. López
24 Z. Ritfield
18 S. de Jong
25 N. El Amrani
12 W. Hassoun
31 J. Zwaan

Coach: E. Speelziek

URK

1 A. Kaptijn
17 R. Brands
12 I. Nentjes
22 W. Timmerman
5 J. de Ridder
6 L. Nagel
10 J. Ras
8 T. Ras
11 L. Schraal
16 L. Tol
23 J. van Essen
Bench (9)
14 P. Brands
20 R. Nentjes
4 I. den Dulk
9 K. Romkes
7 L. Post
21 H. Bakker
3 K. Saeidi
25 M. Hajji
26 J. Tol

Coach: P. Wesselink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.