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KNVB Beker
Referee: L Timmer
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

URK Staphorst
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
5,5
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
5,5
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match URK 12. · Staphorst 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 ADO '20 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Staphorst 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Hoek 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Kozakken Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 URK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Excelsior '31 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 TEC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
21 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Harkemase Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

URK Staphorst
1–0 L. Schraal
R. Nentjes
45′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 D. Schra
B. Dunnink 🔁
↦ R. Nentjes
67′
67′
🔁 E. Kwant
↦ M. van t Ende
67′
🔁 J. van den Brink
↦ K. Engbers
L. Nagel 🟨
72′
P. Brands 🔁
↦ J. Ras
73′
J. de Boer 🔁
↦ K. Romkes
85′
2–0 J. de Boer
P. Brands
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

URK

1 R. Strijker
8 D. Hakvoort
17 R. Brands
6 L. Nagel
10 J. Ras
12 I. Nentjes
16 L. Tol
18 J. Schrijver
20 R. Nentjes
19 K. Romkes
11 L. Schraal
Bench (10)
15 B. Dunnink
14 P. Brands
9 J. de Boer
24 H. Bakker
3 R. de Boer
26 A. Gnodde
25 F. Hoekstra
21 K. Nentjes
7 J. Tol
4 I. den Dulk

Coach: G. Karsten

Staphorst

1 J. Maats
4 D. Muis
6 M. Zwiers
15 K. Engbers
5 J. Duit
17 J. Huizing
21 M. van 't Ende
11 M. Luchtenberg
9 F. Quispel
7 D. Schra
10 S. Haanstra
Bench (7)
18 E. Kwant
12 J. van den Brink
20 J. Rietman
14 J. Hooikammer
25 D. Zwinselman
2 L. Mulder
22 Y. Mijnheer

Coach: K. Meppelink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.