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KNVB Beker
Referee: S Huijs
1–4
Full-time
Blauw Geel
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Sportlust '46 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 TEC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hercules 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Poortugaal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Ijsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hoek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Dovo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Vvsb 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 OJC Rosmalen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Quick '20 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Achilles Veen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 SC Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Kolping Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 FC Lisse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Olde Veste '54 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerjansdam Blauw Geel
19′
D. de Meij 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 H. van Dijk
↦ W. op den Camp
50′
B. van den Nieuwenhof 0–2
53′
D. de Meij 0–3
57′
🔁 J. Mulders
↦ D. de Meij
S. Martina 🔁
↦ M. Valster
66′
69′
🔁 H. Haouat
↦ K. van der Zanden
1–3 M. van den Berg
69′
J. Nugteren 🔁
↦ W. Barendregt
76′
L. Brinkman 🔁
↦ L. Homan
76′
S. Erriani 🔁
↦ J. Visser
82′
85′
R. Voets 1–4
88′
🔁 S. Schobbers
↦ M. van Rosmalen
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Heerjansdam

17 M. Valster
2 L. Valster
8 L. Homan
18 G. Straal
11 M. van den Berg
4 N. Meijboom
7 J. Visser
1 O. Roos
6 C. Bijl
5 W. Barendregt
19 M. van der Made
Bench (7)
12 S. Martina
10 J. Nugteren
9 L. Brinkman
20 S. Erriani
16 J. van den Berg
22 T. Bakker
14 N. van de Hoek

Coach: R. Elzinga

Blauw Geel

1 J. Zielschot
4 M. Zeller
5 B. Eltink
2 J. van Boxtel
3 R. Voets
10 W. op den Camp
9 L. Loermans
6 M. van Rosmalen
11 K. van der Zanden
7 B. van den Nieuwenhof
16 D. de Meij
Bench (7)
8 H. van Dijk
12 J. Mulders
14 H. Haouat
19 S. Schobbers
15 R. van Weert
23 A. Budel
22 Y. Nasser

Coach: M. Verbunt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.