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KNVB Beker
Referee: J Kamphuis
1–3
Full-time
Utrecht
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blauw Geel Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
4,0
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+0,7
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
4,0
3,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

29% Possession 71%
6 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blauw Geel 2. · Utrecht 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 De Treffers 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Nijmegen 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 De Graafschap 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Hercules 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 ADO '20 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Den Haag 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Go Ahead Eagles 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 URK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 FC Emmen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 NAC Breda 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 HV & CV Quick 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Sportlust '46 3 2 0 1 -1 6
16 Staphorst 3 1 1 1 +1 4
17 Hoek 3 1 1 1 +0 4
18 Kozakken Boys 3 1 1 1 -1 4
19 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 OFC Oostzaan 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Volendam 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Twente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Cambuur 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Den Bosch 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Dongen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Telstar 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 GVVV Veenendaal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Almere City 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Rijnvogels 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -1 1
52 RKAV Volendam 2 0 1 1 -2 1
53 DEM 2 0 1 1 -3 1
54 Harkemase Boys 2 0 1 1 -4 1
55 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 MVV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blauw Geel Utrecht
2′
S. van de Streek 0–1
32′
J. Toornstra 0–2
42′
T. Douvikas 0–3
O. Boussaid
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 A. Younes
↦ T. Booth
46′
🔁 L. Brouwers
↦ J. Toornstra
62′
🔁 D. Redan
↦ S. van de Streek
H. Barglan 🔁
↦ Y. Hurkmans
67′
H. van den Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ M. Boonstoppel
67′
1–3 B. van den Nieuwenhof
K. van der Zanden
69′
73′
🔁 D. van der Kust
↦ N. Viergever
Y. Nasser 🔁
↦ D. de Meij
79′
V. Duits 🔁
↦ L. Loermans
79′
84′
🔁 N. Maeda
↦ O. Boussaid
M. Haeve 🔁
↦ W. op den Camp
85′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Blauw Geel

4-2-3-1
1 J. Zielschot G
2 J. van Boxtel D
3 R. Voets D
4 M. Zeller D
6 Y. Hurkmans D
10 W. op den Camp M
8 M. Boonstoppel M
7 B. van den Nieuwenhof M
11 K. van der Zanden M
9 L. Loermans M
16 D. de Meij F
Bench (12)
20 H. Barglan
12 H. van den Nieuwenhof
22 Y. Nasser
25 V. Duits
21 M. Haeve
17 A. El Barki
14 N. Oubaha
18 B. Besems
15 E. Gürcüoğlu
19 H. Murt
5 M. Alkir
23 J. van Zutphen

Coach: N. van Casteren

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
5 H. ter Avest D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
27 M. Sagnan D
24 N. Viergever D
6 C. Bozdoğan M
18 J. Toornstra M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 T. Booth F
9 T. Douvikas F
26 O. Boussaid F
Bench (10)
14 A. Younes
8 L. Brouwers
7 D. Redan
15 D. van der Kust
30 N. Maeda
17 S. Klaiber
2 M. van der Maarel
25 R. Kluivert
31 T. Nijhuis
32 C. Raatsie

Coach: M. Silberbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.