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Taça de Portugal
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alverca 1 1 0 0 +13 3
2 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +10 3
3 Amora 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Oliveira Hospital 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Valadares Gaia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Academica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Juventude Évora 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sandinenses 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Florgrade 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Salgueiros 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Tocha 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Quarteirense SAD 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Montalegre 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Fontinhas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Ribeirão 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Pombal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Alqueidão da Serra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Castrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Fabril Barreiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 União Micaelense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Anadia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Sanjoanense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Os Limianos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Varzim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 União Lamas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Paredes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Pêro Pinheiro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Caldas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Peniche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Portosantense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Gondomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 CD Torres Novas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Lobão 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Real 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Padernense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Penedo Gordo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Guadalupe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Imortal Albufeira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Aliados Lordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Foz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Flamengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Vila Real 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Os Vilanovenses 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 União de Coimbra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Torre de Moncorvo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 AD Fornos Algodres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
66 Proença-a-Nova 1 0 0 1 -6 0
67 Amiense 1 0 0 1 -7 0
68 Vitória do Pico 1 0 0 1 -8 0
69 Régua 1 0 0 1 -10 0
70 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.