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LaLiga2
Referee: Germán Cid
Eldense
T S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Alcorcon
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eldense 11. · Alcorcon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Ferrol 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Santander 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Levante 5 2 2 1 -1 8
8 Mirandes 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Burgos 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Eldense 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Andorra 5 2 0 3 -3 6
13 Amorebieta 5 1 2 2 +1 5
14 Elche 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Albacete 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Villarreal B 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Alcorcon 4 1 1 2 -4 4
19 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
20 Cartagena 5 1 0 4 -4 3
21 Huesca 5 0 3 2 -4 3
22 Eibar 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eldense Alcorcon
36′
🟨 Jean-Sylvain Babin
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟥 Yan Eteki
46′
🔁 Óscar Rivas
↦ Álvaro Bustos
1–0 Iván Chapela
Toni Abad
52′
58′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ Jacobo González
Arnau Ortiz 🔁
↦ Cris Montes
62′
66′
E. Addai 1–1
Jesús Clemente 🔁
↦ Iván Chapela
72′
Juanto 🔁
↦ F. Andone
73′
2–1 Carlos Hernández
Marc Mateu
73′
76′
🟨 Dyego Sousa
78′
🔁 Víctor García
↦ David Morillas
78′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ Dyego Sousa
79′
🟨 Juan Artola
Piña 🔁
↦ Sergio Ortu
86′
Pedro Capó 🔁
↦ Mario Soberón
86′
86′
🔁 Javi Lara
↦ J. Babin
96′
Chiki 2–2
Víctor García
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Guille Vallejo G
2 Toni Abad D
4 D. Đumić D
6 Carlos Hernández D
23 Marc Mateu D
10 Cris Montes
8 Sergio Ortu M
24 David Timor M
20 Iván Chapela M
9 Mario Soberón F
7 F. Andone F
Bench (12)
29 Arnau Ortiz
17 Jesús Clemente
11 Juanto
5 Piña
18 Pedro Capó
21 Álex Bernal
15 Miguel Marí
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
19 Joel Jorquera
12 Derick Poloni
16 Y. Didi
27 E. Salcedo

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Alcorcon

4-4-2
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
2 Javi Castro D
6 J. Babin D
3 David Morillas D
8 Jacobo González M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
18 Y. Eteki M
7 Álvaro Bustos M
9 Chiki F
11 Dyego Sousa F
Bench (10)
4 Óscar Rivas
26 E. Addai
17 Víctor García
22 Juan Artola
15 Javi Lara
19 Xavi Quintillà
14 Álex López
10 Juanma Bravo
23 Chema Rodríguez
13 Lucas Anacker

Coach: Fran Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,29
U ✓
2,98
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,61
U2,5
1,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Germán Cid · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.