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DBU Pokalen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Kerteminde

1–1

Full-time

HB Koge

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kerteminde HB Koge

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+4,0

This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kerteminde 42. · HB Koge 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Frederikshavn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Jyllinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Culpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Hedensted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Varde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Brabrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
87	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
88	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
89	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
90	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frederikshavn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Jyllinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Culpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hedensted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Varde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
40	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
41	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
42	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
43	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
44	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
45	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Brabrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kerteminde HB Koge

31′

🟨 F. Mehder

D. Khalaf 🔁

↦ J. Blirup

32′

🔁 M. Kruuse

↦ F. Mehder

1–0 E. Eriksen ⚽

33′

Half-time 1–0

M. Rydall 🔁

↦ K. Schmidt

46′

🔁 E. Semovski

↦ A. Hansen

47′

⚽ O. Buch 1–1

J. Palmgren 🔁

↦ J. Moltrup

58′

O. Bentzen 🔁

↦ P. Sicko

58′

68′

🔁 J. Trenskow

↦ O. Lassen

68′

🔁 C. Jørgensen

↦ J. Brandt

K. Rasmussen 🔁

↦ J. Løgstrup

82′

91′

🔁 O. Mirzazadeh

↦ F. Bay

V. Nielsen 🔁

↦ O. Bentzen

107′

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kerteminde

23 L. Fogtmann

6 A. Nørgaard

24 J. Moltrup

19 J. Blirup

4 A. Toftdahl

12 E. Eriksen

15 J. Løgstrup

17 P. Sicko

10 K. Schmidt

1 C. Baslund

9 C. Overby

Bench (7)

11 D. Khalaf

7 M. Rydall

2 J. Palmgren

20 O. Bentzen

21 K. Rasmussen

8 V. Nielsen

31 M. Toftdahl

Coach: O. Stangerup

HB Koge

12 F. Mehder

5 L. Gordinho

3 F. Bay

17 O. Buch

33 S. Larsen

27 A. Hansen

13 W. Madsen

34 J. Brandt

23 O. Lassen

28 E. Nsungusi

19 A. Arshad

Bench (8)

29 M. Kruuse

30 E. Semovski

18 J. Trenskow

24 C. Jørgensen

35 O. Mirzazadeh

31 G. Vennemus

25 V. Mikkelsen

26 M. Winkel

Coach: D. Agger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

4. Aug POK 4 years ago

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Kerteminde

HB Koge

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee