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Premier League

Referee: T Bramall

Fulham

U U S T T

2–1

Full-time

Brighton

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

25%

75%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fulham 11. · Brighton 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Man City	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Tottenham	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Brighton	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Leeds	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Newcastle	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Man United	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Liverpool	4	1	2	1	+8	5
10	Brentford	4	1	2	1	+3	5
11	Fulham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Crystal Palace	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Nott'm Forest	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Aston Villa	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	West Ham	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Bournemouth	4	1	0	3	-14	3
18	Everton	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Wolves	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leicester	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Leeds	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+9	4
6	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Man United	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	Newcastle	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Liverpool	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Nott'm Forest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Leicester	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.