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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Viborg
T U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Aalborg
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — DBU Pokalen · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
3,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Viborg 6. · Aalborg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 5 5 0 0 +14 15
2 Aarhus Fremad 6 4 0 2 +11 12
3 Sonderjyske 5 4 0 1 +9 12
4 Vejle 5 4 0 1 +9 12
5 Middelfart 4 3 0 1 +13 9
6 Viborg 4 3 0 1 +8 9
7 Silkeborg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
8 Aalborg 3 3 0 0 +5 9
9 Thisted FC 4 3 0 1 +4 9
10 Fremad Amager 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 Hobro 3 2 1 0 +5 7
12 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 +4 7
13 Nykobing FC 4 2 1 1 +1 7
14 Aarhus 3 2 0 1 +9 6
15 Hørsholm-Usserød 3 2 0 1 +8 6
16 Ishøj 3 2 0 1 +6 6
17 Vendsyssel FF 3 2 0 1 +5 6
18 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +5 6
19 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +4 6
20 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +4 6
21 FC Helsingor 3 2 0 1 +3 6
22 Jammerbugt 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 BSF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
24 Horsens 3 2 0 1 +1 6
25 AB Copenhagen 3 2 0 1 +0 6
26 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 -1 6
27 HB Koge 3 1 1 1 +1 4
28 Kerteminde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Brabrand 3 1 1 1 -2 4
30 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 +7 3
31 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +7 3
32 Midtjylland 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +3 3
34 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Skive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Frem 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Karlslunde 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Randers FC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Kastrup 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Hedensted 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Kolding IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Culpa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Frederikshavn 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Jyllinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Tuse 2 1 0 1 -4 3
52 Viby 2 1 0 1 -5 3
53 Vatanspor 2 1 0 1 -6 3
54 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Varde 2 0 1 1 -2 1
59 SGI 3 0 1 2 -7 1
60 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Brondby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
98 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
99 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
100 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
101 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
102 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Aalborg
Renato Junior 🟨
26′
S. Berger 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
29′
1–0 A. Gaaei
J. Grønning
40′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 Pedro Ferreira
↦ M. Højholt
60′
🔁 L. Prip
↦ L. Andersen
60′
🔁 D. Granli
↦ J. Ahlmann
M. Westergaard 🔁
↦ J. Bonde
62′
Paulinho 🔁
↦ Renato Júnior
62′
66′
🟨 D. Granli
70′
🔁 M. Ramkilde
↦ N. Helenius
A. Gaaei 🟨
73′
Nils Mortimer 🔁
↦ I. Said
77′
M. Søndergaard 🔁
↦ J. Grønning
77′
79′
🟨 A. Goncalves Sousa
92′
🟨 Y. Bakiz
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Viborg

1 L. Lund
5 Ž. Zaletel
24 D. Anyembe
23 O. Bundgaard
2 A. Gaaei
13 J. Grønning
14 C. Leemans
17 J. Bonde
30 I. Said
7 E. Achouri
11 Renato Júnior
Bench (9)
21 S. Berger
28 M. Westergaard
29 Paulinho
10 Nils Mortimer
6 M. Søndergaard
36 V. Hjorth
19 J. Žambůrek
37 J. Nielsen
16 M. Andersen

Coach: J. Friis

Aalborg

40 N. Mantl
3 J. Ahlmann
26 R. Thelander
2 K. Pallesen
4 L. Kramer
8 I. Fossum
14 M. Højholt
17 N. Helenius
10 L. Andersen
7 Allan Sousa
23 Y. Bakiz
Bench (9)
6 Pedro Ferreira
18 L. Prip
5 D. Granli
29 M. Ramkilde
34 S. Otoa
19 A. Ementa
1 J. Posavec
24 J. Skulstad
38 O. Ross

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.